Skip to main content
icon for Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Elections·Andalucia

Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats

icon for Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Elections·Andalucia

Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats

16-18 41%

13-15 28%

19-21 26%

<13 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

16-18 41%

13-15 28%

19-21 26%

<13 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

<13

$259 Vol.

8%

13-15

$463 Vol.

28%

16-18

$426 Vol.

41%

19-21

$1,177 Vol.

26%

22+

$582 Vol.

5%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls in the final stretch before Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX securing 15-17 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, up modestly from 14 in 2022, driving trader consensus toward 16-18 seats at 40.5% implied probability. Surveys from Sociométrica, Celeste-Tel, and NC Report over the past week show VOX at 13.6-14.6% vote share, gaining from PSOE's historic decline under María Jesús Montero while incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno nears absolute majority (55 seats) at 42-44%. IMOP Insights' higher 17-19 projection bolsters 19-21 odds at 26%, but divergences reflect uncertainty in proportional seat allocation via d'Hondt method amid low turnout risks; no pivotal coalition role likely if PP hits 55+.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$2,907
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls in the final stretch before Andalusia's May 17 regional election project VOX securing 15-17 seats in the 109-seat Parliament, up modestly from 14 in 2022, driving trader consensus toward 16-18 seats at 40.5% implied probability. Surveys from Sociométrica, Celeste-Tel, and NC Report over the past week show VOX at 13.6-14.6% vote share, gaining from PSOE's historic decline under María Jesús Montero while incumbent PP under Juanma Moreno nears absolute majority (55 seats) at 42-44%. IMOP Insights' higher 17-19 projection bolsters 19-21 odds at 26%, but divergences reflect uncertainty in proportional seat allocation via d'Hondt method amid low turnout risks; no pivotal coalition role likely if PP hits 55+.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$2,907
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

56%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

30%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "16-18" at 41%, followed by "13-15" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats" is "16-18" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13-15" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.