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Elections·Greenland

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Market icon
Elections·Greenland

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen 89%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 6.3%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.9%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$4,221,124 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 89%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 6.3%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.9%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$4,221,124 Vol.

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Mette Frederiksen

$1,019,635 Vol.

89%

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Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$1,401,889 Vol.

6%

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Troels Lund Poulsen

$626,306 Vol.

3%

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Alex Vanopslagh

$620,828 Vol.

<1%

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Mona Juul

$87,340 Vol.

<1%

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Morten Messerschmidt

$173,225 Vol.

<1%

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Lars Boje Mathiesen

$75,740 Vol.

<1%

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Inger Støjberg

$21,960 Vol.

<1%

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Martin Lidegaard

$31,698 Vol.

<1%

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Pia Olsen Dyhr

$117,807 Vol.

<1%

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Pelle Dragsted

$44,696 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's March 24, 2026, general election, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century, with her center-left bloc falling short of a majority. King Frederik X tasked Frederiksen on March 25 with leading coalition negotiations, positioning her as the frontrunner per tradition for the largest party's leader. Trader consensus prices her return at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of centrist deals amid fragmented results. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates holds 6.2% as potential kingmaker, while ongoing talks—potentially lasting weeks—could pivot outcomes if no majority forms.

Following Denmark's March 24, 2026, general election, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century, with her center-left bloc falling short of a majority. King Frederik X tasked Frederiksen on March 25 with leading coalition negotiations, positioning her as the frontrunner per tradition for the largest party's leader. Trader consensus prices her return at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of centrist deals amid fragmented results. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates holds 6.2% as potential kingmaker, while ongoing talks—potentially lasting weeks—could pivot outcomes if no majority forms.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Denmark's March 24, 2026, general election, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century, with her center-left bloc falling short of a majority. King Frederik X tasked Frederiksen on March 25 with leading coalition negotiations, positioning her as the frontrunner per tradition for the largest party's leader. Trader consensus prices her return at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of centrist deals amid fragmented results. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates holds 6.2% as potential kingmaker, while ongoing talks—potentially lasting weeks—could pivot outcomes if no majority forms.

Following Denmark's March 24, 2026, general election, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats in the Folketing despite a historic slump to their weakest result in over a century, with her center-left bloc falling short of a majority. King Frederik X tasked Frederiksen on March 25 with leading coalition negotiations, positioning her as the frontrunner per tradition for the largest party's leader. Trader consensus prices her return at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of centrist deals amid fragmented results. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates holds 6.2% as potential kingmaker, while ongoing talks—potentially lasting weeks—could pivot outcomes if no majority forms.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Denmark?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mette Frederiksen" at 89%, followed by "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Denmark?" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Denmark?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Denmark?" is "Mette Frederiksen" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Denmark?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.