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Politics·Denmark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Market icon
Politics·Denmark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

$39,622 Vol.

Mar 24, 2026
Polymarket

$39,622 Vol.

Polymarket

Social Democrats

$1,911 Vol.

94%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$390 Vol.

83%

Moderates

$1,413 Vol.

78%

Green Left

$15,830 Vol.

59%

Conservative People’s Party

$122 Vol.

35%

Venstre

$1,531 Vol.

49%

Denmark Democrats

$209 Vol.

5%

Danish People’s Party

$495 Vol.

5%

The Alternative

$2,967 Vol.

5%

Red–Green Alliance

$1,518 Vol.

11%

Liberal Alliance

$315 Vol.

4%

Naleraq

$1,363 Vol.

4%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,332 Vol.

2%

Union Party

$6,700 Vol.

1%

Citizens’ Party

$3,111 Vol.

1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$415 Vol.

1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, produced a fragmented Folketing under proportional representation, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats taking the largest share at 38 seats but their weakest result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86—short of the 90-seat majority. The blue bloc holds 78 seats, elevating the centrist Moderates' 14 seats as kingmaker in coalition negotiations. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen formateur on March 25, tasking her to lead talks starting with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), though Moderates favor centrist deals excluding extremes like Danish People's Party or Red-Green Alliance. Ongoing discussions, potentially lasting weeks as in 2022, amid U.S. Greenland pressures, will determine the next government's parties.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$39,622
End Date
Mar 24, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, produced a fragmented Folketing under proportional representation, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats taking the largest share at 38 seats but their weakest result since 1903, leaving the red bloc at 86—short of the 90-seat majority. The blue bloc holds 78 seats, elevating the centrist Moderates' 14 seats as kingmaker in coalition negotiations. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen formateur on March 25, tasking her to lead talks starting with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), though Moderates favor centrist deals excluding extremes like Danish People's Party or Red-Green Alliance. Ongoing discussions, potentially lasting weeks as in 2022, amid U.S. Greenland pressures, will determine the next government's parties.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$39,622
End Date
Mar 24, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Social Democrats" at 94%, followed by "Danish Social Liberal Party" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" has generated $39.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" is "Social Democrats" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Danish Social Liberal Party" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.