2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

18%

Democrats 8-10%

$29.4K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

31%

War Machine

$9.9K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

23%

>200m

$181K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

10%

War Machine

$5.6K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

1%

Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

$5.7K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

4%

War Machine

$4.4K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

69%

Movistar KOI

$12.2K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

77%

Movistar KOI

$4.4K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)

100%

Project Hail Mary

$20.9K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?

76%

The Odyssey

$200 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 year

UFC: Who will Movsar Evloev fight next?

UFC: Who will Movsar Evloev fight next?

83%

Alexander Volkanovski

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

41%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$2M Vol.

$307K today

$741K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

8%

$2M Vol.

$126K Liq.

28

Ends in 9 months

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

80%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1M Vol.

$215K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?

61%

$5.1K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

66%

$0 Vol.

$127 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office

"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office

35%

<5m

$19.3K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

"Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office

"Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office

31%

50-54m

$6.1K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

98%

Project Hail Mary

$31.4K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

"Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office

"Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office

36%

10-11m

$12.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mov.

Polymarket currently hosts 190 active markets for Mov that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Highest grossing movie in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Highest grossing movie in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to Spider-Man: Brand New Day. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mov predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.