Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$2,673 Vol.
Khatt Ahmar 42%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF) 39%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath) 33.6%
National Dialogue Party (NDP) 34%
Khatt Ahmar
$102 Vol.
42%
Khatt Ahmar
$102 Vol.
42%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
$102 Vol.
39%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
$102 Vol.
39%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
$102 Vol.
34%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
$102 Vol.
34%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
$102 Vol.
34%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
$102 Vol.
34%
Marada Movement (MM)
$102 Vol.
32%
Marada Movement (MM)
$102 Vol.
32%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
$102 Vol.
32%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
$102 Vol.
32%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
$353 Vol.
43%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
$353 Vol.
43%
Amal Movement (Amal)
$94 Vol.
31%
Amal Movement (Amal)
$94 Vol.
31%
ReLebanon
$102 Vol.
29%
ReLebanon
$102 Vol.
29%
Taqaddom Party
$102 Vol.
27%
Taqaddom Party
$102 Vol.
27%
Union Party (UP)
$102 Vol.
26%
Union Party (UP)
$102 Vol.
26%
Dignity Movement (DM)
$102 Vol.
26%
Dignity Movement (DM)
$102 Vol.
26%
Islamic Group (IG)
$87 Vol.
25%
Islamic Group (IG)
$87 Vol.
25%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
$97 Vol.
24%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
$97 Vol.
24%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
$112 Vol.
23%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
$112 Vol.
23%
Independence Movement (IM)
$102 Vol.
23%
Independence Movement (IM)
$102 Vol.
23%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
$102 Vol.
23%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
$102 Vol.
23%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
$102 Vol.
22%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
$102 Vol.
22%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
$102 Vol.
21%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
$102 Vol.
21%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
$102 Vol.
21%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
$102 Vol.
21%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
$152 Vol.
18%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
$152 Vol.
18%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
$112 Vol.
12%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
$112 Vol.
12%
Mada Party (Mada)
$142 Vol.
22%
Mada Party (Mada)
$142 Vol.
22%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Created At: Jan 6, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$2,673 Vol.
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Khatt Ahmar 42%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF) 39%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath) 33.6%
National Dialogue Party (NDP) 34%
Khatt Ahmar
42%
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
39%
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
34%
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
34%
Marada Movement (MM)
32%
National Liberal Party (NLP)
32%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
43%
Amal Movement (Amal)
31%
ReLebanon
29%
Taqaddom Party
27%
Union Party (UP)
26%
Dignity Movement (DM)
26%
Islamic Group (IG)
25%
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
24%
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
23%
Independence Movement (IM)
23%
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
23%
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
22%
Watani Alliance (Watani)
21%
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
21%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
18%
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
12%
Mada Party (Mada)
22%
About
Resolver
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