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icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elections·Global Elections

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elections·Global Elections

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 60%

Charles Milliard 27%

Christine Fréchette 11%

Sol Zanetti 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 60%

Charles Milliard 27%

Christine Fréchette 11%

Sol Zanetti 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$1,404 Vol.

60%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$289 Vol.

27%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$154 Vol.

2%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$159 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$424 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$258 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% implied probability to become next premier after the October 2026 provincial election, driven by recent seat projections showing PQ poised for 55-72 National Assembly seats despite tight voter intentions. Aggregators like 338Canada, updated April 23, give PQ 98% odds of most seats and 58% for majority, reflecting efficient vote distribution in key ridings amid PLQ's 37-53 seat range under new leader Charles Milliard (36.5%). Christine Fréchette's CAQ (6%) languishes at 15% support post her April 12 leadership victory and François Legault's January resignation, hampered by plummeting polls. Minor parties trail as focus narrows to PQ-PLQ battle ahead of snap election risks.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,284
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 57.5% implied probability to become next premier after the October 2026 provincial election, driven by recent seat projections showing PQ poised for 55-72 National Assembly seats despite tight voter intentions. Aggregators like 338Canada, updated April 23, give PQ 98% odds of most seats and 58% for majority, reflecting efficient vote distribution in key ridings amid PLQ's 37-53 seat range under new leader Charles Milliard (36.5%). Christine Fréchette's CAQ (6%) languishes at 15% support post her April 12 leadership victory and François Legault's January resignation, hampered by plummeting polls. Minor parties trail as focus narrows to PQ-PLQ battle ahead of snap election risks.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,284
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Premier of Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 60%, followed by "Charles Milliard" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Premier of Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Premier of Quebec," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Premier of Quebec" is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Milliard" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Premier of Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.