Polymarket traders' consensus favors below-85% voter turnout at 68% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the 2022 record-low of 85.6% amid Labour Party dominance and a quiet campaign that reduced competitiveness in the island's high-turnout, single transferable vote system. Recent Sagalytics polls from late April to early May show Labour extending its lead over Nationalists to 10.5 points (53.1% vs. 42.6%), signaling diminished race tightness historically fueling near-universal participation. Prime Minister Abela's April 27 parliament dissolution triggered a compressed five-week campaign, constraining mobilization efforts ahead of early voting options and the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<85% 61%
85-90% 29%
90-95% 6.3%
95%+ 2.5%
$21,386 Vol.
$21,386 Vol.
<85%
61%
85-90%
29%
90-95%
6%
95%+
3%
<85% 61%
85-90% 29%
90-95% 6.3%
95%+ 2.5%
$21,386 Vol.
$21,386 Vol.
<85%
61%
85-90%
29%
90-95%
6%
95%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' consensus favors below-85% voter turnout at 68% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the 2022 record-low of 85.6% amid Labour Party dominance and a quiet campaign that reduced competitiveness in the island's high-turnout, single transferable vote system. Recent Sagalytics polls from late April to early May show Labour extending its lead over Nationalists to 10.5 points (53.1% vs. 42.6%), signaling diminished race tightness historically fueling near-universal participation. Prime Minister Abela's April 27 parliament dissolution triggered a compressed five-week campaign, constraining mobilization efforts ahead of early voting options and the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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