The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6 produced results that align closely with the market's leading 38-41 seat range for the AfD. The party secured 43.8% of the second vote and 39 of 83 seats, more than doubling its 2021 share while the CDU collapsed to 17.2% and 15 seats. Record turnout of 77.8% and the BSW clearing the 5% threshold with five seats prevented an AfD absolute majority. Preliminary counts from the state election authority and broadcasters have remained consistent, with the AfD winning most direct mandates. Final certification or minor adjustments from outstanding ballots could still shift the precise total by one or two seats, though movement outside 38-41 appears improbable given the scale of the reported outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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