Trader consensus in the Daegu mayoral race heavily favors People Power Party candidate Choo Kyung-ho at 75.5% implied probability ahead of the June 3 local elections, reflecting the city's status as a conservative stronghold where PPP captured 78% in 2022 despite no Democratic mayor ever winning. Recent polls from early May, including surveys showing Democratic Party challenger Kim Boo-kyum—former Daegu mayor and prime minister—leading or tying within the margin of error, have tightened the contest, yet traders discount these amid historical base rates favoring incumbency-like PPP dominance. Candidate registrations concluded May 14, with official campaigning launching May 21; upcoming voter turnout in this battleground could tip the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDaegu Mayoral Election Winner
Daegu Mayoral Election Winner
Choo Kyung-ho 76%
Kim Boo-kyum 25%
Seo Jae-heon <1%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
$601,085 Vol.
$601,085 Vol.

Choo Kyung-ho
76%

Kim Boo-kyum
25%

Seo Jae-heon
<1%

Lee Jin-sook
<1%

Yoon Jae-ok
<1%

Kang Min-gu
<1%

Hong Seok-jun
<1%

Joo Ho-young
<1%

Yoo Young-ha
<1%

Choi Eun-seok
<1%

Lee Jae-man
<1%

Kim Han-koo
<1%
Choo Kyung-ho 76%
Kim Boo-kyum 25%
Seo Jae-heon <1%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
$601,085 Vol.
$601,085 Vol.

Choo Kyung-ho
76%

Kim Boo-kyum
25%

Seo Jae-heon
<1%

Lee Jin-sook
<1%

Yoon Jae-ok
<1%

Kang Min-gu
<1%

Hong Seok-jun
<1%

Joo Ho-young
<1%

Yoo Young-ha
<1%

Choi Eun-seok
<1%

Lee Jae-man
<1%

Kim Han-koo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Daegu mayoral race heavily favors People Power Party candidate Choo Kyung-ho at 75.5% implied probability ahead of the June 3 local elections, reflecting the city's status as a conservative stronghold where PPP captured 78% in 2022 despite no Democratic mayor ever winning. Recent polls from early May, including surveys showing Democratic Party challenger Kim Boo-kyum—former Daegu mayor and prime minister—leading or tying within the margin of error, have tightened the contest, yet traders discount these amid historical base rates favoring incumbency-like PPP dominance. Candidate registrations concluded May 14, with official campaigning launching May 21; upcoming voter turnout in this battleground could tip the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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