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Politics·Malta

Next Prime Minister of Malta

icon for Next Prime Minister of Malta
Politics·Malta

Next Prime Minister of Malta

Robert Abela 91%

Alex Borg 10.0%

Arnold Cassola <1%

Paul Salomone <1%

Polymarket

$110,077 Vol.

Robert Abela 91%

Alex Borg 10.0%

Arnold Cassola <1%

Paul Salomone <1%

Polymarket

$110,077 Vol.

icon for Robert Abela

Robert Abela

$39,631 Vol.

91%

icon for Alex Borg

Alex Borg

$35,246 Vol.

10%

icon for Arnold Cassola

Arnold Cassola

$8,822 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Salomone

Paul Salomone

$6,930 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandra Gauci

Sandra Gauci

$10,418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eman Alexander Cross

Eman Alexander Cross

$9,029 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Abela's 90.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister reflects Labour Party's widening poll leads in the snap general election set for May 30, following Abela's April 27 call citing energy costs from Middle East tensions. Recent surveys, including a Times of Malta poll showing a 19,600-vote edge and Sagalytics favoring Abela as preferred leader, underscore incumbency advantages after Labour's 2022 majority win and Malta's resilient economy backing fully costed promises. Nationalist Party leader Alex Borg, elected in 2025, pitches "new breath" but trails at 10%, consistent with opposition struggles. Late scandals, voter turnout swings in proportional representation districts, or undecided shifts could challenge this, though structural barriers favor continuity.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,077
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Abela's 90.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister reflects Labour Party's widening poll leads in the snap general election set for May 30, following Abela's April 27 call citing energy costs from Middle East tensions. Recent surveys, including a Times of Malta poll showing a 19,600-vote edge and Sagalytics favoring Abela as preferred leader, underscore incumbency advantages after Labour's 2022 majority win and Malta's resilient economy backing fully costed promises. Nationalist Party leader Alex Borg, elected in 2025, pitches "new breath" but trails at 10%, consistent with opposition struggles. Late scandals, voter turnout swings in proportional representation districts, or undecided shifts could challenge this, though structural barriers favor continuity.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,077
End Date
May 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Malta" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Abela" at 91%, followed by "Alex Borg" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Malta" has generated $110.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Malta," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Malta" is "Robert Abela" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Borg" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Malta" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.