Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

<1%

$996K Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

66

Ends in 3 days

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

89%

March 31

$22.4K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

83%

Death Tax

$277K Vol.

$54.6K today

$12.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

75%

Not revealed in 2026

$0 Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

19%

April 30

$137K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

23%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

59

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

38%

100-119

$98.4K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

38%

War On Fraud

$128K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 days

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

98%

100-119

$316K Vol.

$183K today

$83.3K Liq.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

30%

100-119

$54.7K Vol.

$75.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

24%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$99.0K Liq.

161

Ends in 9 months

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

1%

$724K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

146

Ends in 3 days

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

79%

April 5

$916 Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

40%

51–60

$25.9K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 days

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

34%

60-79

$1.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump say during FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27?

What will Trump say during FII PRIORITY Summit on March 27?

94%

Oil / Gas

$26.5K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

3

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$14.3K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?

What will Trump say during National Agriculture Day events on March 27?

89%

Biden

$143K Vol.

$93.8K today

$25.2K Liq.

12

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

92%

March 27

$503K Vol.

$261K today

$47.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fact Check.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Fact Check that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fact Check predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.