The narrow 0.5-percentage-point margin between David Crowley and Francesca Hong in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor fell within the state’s 1% threshold allowing a potential recount, yet Wisconsin law requires no automatic recount and instead mandates a candidate petition within three business days after county canvasses conclude. No such request materialized before the August 31 deadline, as canvassing timelines and procedural hurdles passed without action despite the close vote totals. Traders assign 100% probability to “No” because the window for ordering a recount has closed without any petition or court intervention. Late filings, successful legal challenges to canvass results, or unexpected certification disputes remain theoretically possible but would face significant institutional and timing barriers under current election statutes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
$2,472 Vol.
$2,472 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1% chance
$2,472 Vol.
$2,472 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow 0.5-percentage-point margin between David Crowley and Francesca Hong in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor fell within the state’s 1% threshold allowing a potential recount, yet Wisconsin law requires no automatic recount and instead mandates a candidate petition within three business days after county canvasses conclude. No such request materialized before the August 31 deadline, as canvassing timelines and procedural hurdles passed without action despite the close vote totals. Traders assign 100% probability to “No” because the window for ordering a recount has closed without any petition or court intervention. Late filings, successful legal challenges to canvass results, or unexpected certification disputes remain theoretically possible but would face significant institutional and timing barriers under current election statutes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$2,472End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The narrow 0.5-percentage-point margin between David Crowley and Francesca Hong in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor fell within the state’s 1% threshold allowing a potential recount, yet Wisconsin law requires no automatic recount and instead mandates a candidate petition within three business days after county canvasses conclude. No such request materialized before the August 31 deadline, as canvassing timelines and procedural hurdles passed without action despite the close vote totals. Traders assign 100% probability to “No” because the window for ordering a recount has closed without any petition or court intervention. Late filings, successful legal challenges to canvass results, or unexpected certification disputes remain theoretically possible but would face significant institutional and timing barriers under current election statutes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,472End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The narrow 0.5-percentage-point margin between David Crowley and Francesca Hong in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor fell within the state’s 1% threshold allowing a potential recount, yet Wisconsin law requires no automatic recount and instead mandates a candidate petition within three business days after county canvasses conclude. No such request materialized before the August 31 deadline, as canvassing timelines and procedural hurdles passed without action despite the close vote totals. Traders assign 100% probability to “No” because the window for ordering a recount has closed without any petition or court intervention. Late filings, successful legal challenges to canvass results, or unexpected certification disputes remain theoretically possible but would face significant institutional and timing barriers under current election statutes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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