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Politics·Trump-Machado

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Market icon
Politics·Trump-Machado

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

$5,080,514 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,080,514 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

March 31

$1,929,964 Vol.

1%

Market icon

April 30

$317,309 Vol.

18%

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado, who won the October 2023 primaries but was barred from the presidency by the Maduro-aligned Supreme Court, faces an active arrest warrant from Attorney General Tarek Saab for alleged conspiracy and incitement tied to post-July 28 election protests against Maduro's disputed victory. Having departed Venezuela in late August amid a government crackdown that included over 2,000 detentions, she has coordinated internationally from Colombia and Spain, vowing a return to challenge the National Electoral Council's unverified results favoring Edmundo González per opposition tallies. Tightened border controls and military presence at airports heighten risks, while US sanctions, EU non-recognition of Maduro, and upcoming OAS hearings on fraud claims could influence regime tolerance for her entry, potentially via land routes from Colombia as in past opposition movements.

Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado, who won the October 2023 primaries but was barred from the presidency by the Maduro-aligned Supreme Court, faces an active arrest warrant from Attorney General Tarek Saab for alleged conspiracy and incitement tied to post-July 28 election protests against Maduro's disputed victory. Having departed Venezuela in late August amid a government crackdown that included over 2,000 detentions, she has coordinated internationally from Colombia and Spain, vowing a return to challenge the National Electoral Council's unverified results favoring Edmundo González per opposition tallies. Tightened border controls and military presence at airports heighten risks, while US sanctions, EU non-recognition of Maduro, and upcoming OAS hearings on fraud claims could influence regime tolerance for her entry, potentially via land routes from Colombia as in past opposition movements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado, who won the October 2023 primaries but was barred from the presidency by the Maduro-aligned Supreme Court, faces an active arrest warrant from Attorney General Tarek Saab for alleged conspiracy and incitement tied to post-July 28 election protests against Maduro's disputed victory. Having departed Venezuela in late August amid a government crackdown that included over 2,000 detentions, she has coordinated internationally from Colombia and Spain, vowing a return to challenge the National Electoral Council's unverified results favoring Edmundo González per opposition tallies. Tightened border controls and military presence at airports heighten risks, while US sanctions, EU non-recognition of Maduro, and upcoming OAS hearings on fraud claims could influence regime tolerance for her entry, potentially via land routes from Colombia as in past opposition movements.

Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado, who won the October 2023 primaries but was barred from the presidency by the Maduro-aligned Supreme Court, faces an active arrest warrant from Attorney General Tarek Saab for alleged conspiracy and incitement tied to post-July 28 election protests against Maduro's disputed victory. Having departed Venezuela in late August amid a government crackdown that included over 2,000 detentions, she has coordinated internationally from Colombia and Spain, vowing a return to challenge the National Electoral Council's unverified results favoring Edmundo González per opposition tallies. Tightened border controls and military presence at airports heighten risks, while US sanctions, EU non-recognition of Maduro, and upcoming OAS hearings on fraud claims could influence regime tolerance for her entry, potentially via land routes from Colombia as in past opposition movements.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 18%, followed by "March 31" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?" has generated $5.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?" is "April 30" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.