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Politics·Venezuela

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

$483,094 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$483,094 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$171,296 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$6,711 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and extradition to face charges, Delcy Rodríguez serves as interim president, appointed by the PSUV-controlled Supreme Tribunal of Justice and endorsed by the armed forces, with her brother Jorge Rodríguez heading the National Assembly. No date has been set for a new presidential election, as the government emphasizes national stability, institutional reforms, and political dialogue over immediate polls, potentially extending her tenure up to six months under constitutional provisions for presidential absence. Opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return in coming weeks to rally support and prepare voter registries, suggesting elections feasible in 9-12 months with electoral council (CNE) changes and U.S.-backed guarantees. Traders weigh U.S. pressure for fair voting against institutional resistance amid ongoing transition tensions.

Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and extradition to face charges, Delcy Rodríguez serves as interim president, appointed by the PSUV-controlled Supreme Tribunal of Justice and endorsed by the armed forces, with her brother Jorge Rodríguez heading the National Assembly. No date has been set for a new presidential election, as the government emphasizes national stability, institutional reforms, and political dialogue over immediate polls, potentially extending her tenure up to six months under constitutional provisions for presidential absence. Opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return in coming weeks to rally support and prepare voter registries, suggesting elections feasible in 9-12 months with electoral council (CNE) changes and U.S.-backed guarantees. Traders weigh U.S. pressure for fair voting against institutional resistance amid ongoing transition tensions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and extradition to face charges, Delcy Rodríguez serves as interim president, appointed by the PSUV-controlled Supreme Tribunal of Justice and endorsed by the armed forces, with her brother Jorge Rodríguez heading the National Assembly. No date has been set for a new presidential election, as the government emphasizes national stability, institutional reforms, and political dialogue over immediate polls, potentially extending her tenure up to six months under constitutional provisions for presidential absence. Opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return in coming weeks to rally support and prepare voter registries, suggesting elections feasible in 9-12 months with electoral council (CNE) changes and U.S.-backed guarantees. Traders weigh U.S. pressure for fair voting against institutional resistance amid ongoing transition tensions.

Following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and extradition to face charges, Delcy Rodríguez serves as interim president, appointed by the PSUV-controlled Supreme Tribunal of Justice and endorsed by the armed forces, with her brother Jorge Rodríguez heading the National Assembly. No date has been set for a new presidential election, as the government emphasizes national stability, institutional reforms, and political dialogue over immediate polls, potentially extending her tenure up to six months under constitutional provisions for presidential absence. Opposition leader María Corina Machado announced her return in coming weeks to rally support and prepare voter registries, suggesting elections feasible in 9-12 months with electoral council (CNE) changes and U.S.-backed guarantees. Traders weigh U.S. pressure for fair voting against institutional resistance amid ongoing transition tensions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 42%, followed by "March 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" has generated $483.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" is "December 31" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.