Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Russia decision in June?
Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease 82%
No Change 13%
Increase 5.8%
Decrease
80%
No Change
16%
Increase
6%
Decrease 82%
No Change 13%
Increase 5.8%
Decrease
80%
No Change
16%
Increase
6%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions