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icon for Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?
Finance·KPIs

Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?

icon for Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?
Finance·KPIs

Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?

$13,844 Vol.

Apr 22, 2026
Polymarket

$13,844 Vol.

Polymarket

120

$590 Vol.

Yes

125

$285 Vol.

Yes

130

$316 Vol.

Yes

135

$246 Vol.

Yes

140

$443 Vol.

Yes

145

$782 Vol.

No

150

$10,058 Vol.

No

155

$663 Vol.

No

160

$461 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Boeing delivered 143 commercial airplanes in Q1 2026, announced April 14, exceeding the prior-year total of 130 and rival Airbus's 114 for the first quarterly lead since 2019, with 114 Boeing 737 narrowbodies driving 80% of volume amid production stabilization at 42 units per month. Q1 earnings on April 22 confirmed revenue of $22.2 billion, up 14% year-over-year, fueled by higher deliveries and a record $695 billion backlog encompassing over 6,100 commercial jets valued at $576 billion, though commercial operating margins remained negative at -6.1%. Traders eye Q2 delivery acceleration, 737-7/10 certifications expected in 2026 with first deliveries in 2027, and ongoing FAA oversight amid supply chain constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$13,844
End Date
Apr 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Boeing delivered 143 commercial airplanes in Q1 2026, announced April 14, exceeding the prior-year total of 130 and rival Airbus's 114 for the first quarterly lead since 2019, with 114 Boeing 737 narrowbodies driving 80% of volume amid production stabilization at 42 units per month. Q1 earnings on April 22 confirmed revenue of $22.2 billion, up 14% year-over-year, fueled by higher deliveries and a record $695 billion backlog encompassing over 6,100 commercial jets valued at $576 billion, though commercial operating margins remained negative at -6.1%. Traders eye Q2 delivery acceleration, 737-7/10 certifications expected in 2026 with first deliveries in 2027, and ongoing FAA oversight amid supply chain constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$13,844
End Date
Apr 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Boeing’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "120" at 100%, followed by "125" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?" is "120" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "125" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.