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2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Alphabet 77%

Apple 23%

NVIDIA <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,432,229 Vol.

Alphabet 77%

Apple 23%

NVIDIA <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$1,432,229 Vol.

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Alphabet

$116,121 Vol.

77%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Apple

$128,203 Vol.

23%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

NVIDIA

$746,815 Vol.

1%

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Microsoft

$216,457 Vol.

<1%

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Amazon

$83,903 Vol.

<1%

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Tesla

$77,246 Vol.

<1%

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? icon

Saudi Aramco

$66,572 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to Alphabet securing the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current positioning behind NVIDIA's dominant ~$4.9 trillion valuation and ahead of Apple's ~$3.9 trillion as of April 17. Alphabet's lead, established since overtaking Apple in January amid sustained AI infrastructure demand boosting Google Cloud revenue trends, has held firm despite year-to-date sector volatility. Apple's 22.5% odds stem from competitive positioning in consumer devices and potential services growth, with negligible probabilities for Microsoft, NVIDIA demotion, or others like Saudi Aramco due to substantial valuation gaps. Key catalysts include Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 29 and Apple's Q2 report on April 30, which could shift relative share prices and market caps.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,432,229
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to Alphabet securing the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026 close, reflecting its current positioning behind NVIDIA's dominant ~$4.9 trillion valuation and ahead of Apple's ~$3.9 trillion as of April 17. Alphabet's lead, established since overtaking Apple in January amid sustained AI infrastructure demand boosting Google Cloud revenue trends, has held firm despite year-to-date sector volatility. Apple's 22.5% odds stem from competitive positioning in consumer devices and potential services growth, with negligible probabilities for Microsoft, NVIDIA demotion, or others like Saudi Aramco due to substantial valuation gaps. Key catalysts include Alphabet's Q1 earnings on April 29 and Apple's Q2 report on April 30, which could shift relative share prices and market caps.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,432,229
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 77%, followed by "Apple" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.