$899,278 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
February 6
$145,574 Vol.
<1%
February 6
$145,574 Vol.
<1%
February 14, 2026
$89,570 Vol.
4%
February 14, 2026
$89,570 Vol.
4%
February 28, 2026
$254,533 Vol.
21%
February 28, 2026
$254,533 Vol.
21%
March 31, 2026
$357,546 Vol.
71%
March 31, 2026
$357,546 Vol.
71%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by February 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by February 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$899,278End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Feb 4, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...$899,278 Vol.
February 6
$145,574 Vol.
<1%
February 14, 2026
$89,570 Vol.
4%
February 28, 2026
$254,533 Vol.
21%
March 31, 2026
$357,546 Vol.
71%
About
Volume
$899,278End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Feb 4, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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