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Finance·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of May?

icon for 3rd largest company end of May?
Finance·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of May?

Apr 30

May 31

Apr 30

May 31

Apple 44%

Alphabet 26%

Microsoft 5%

NVIDIA 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Apple 44%

Alphabet 26%

Microsoft 5%

NVIDIA 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Apple

Apple

$77 Vol.

55%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$19 Vol.

26%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$10 Vol.

5%

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$5 Vol.

3%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$148 Vol.

2%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$311 Vol.

1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$121 Vol.

1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$159 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital on end-of-May market caps, price Apple at 55.5% implied probability to claim third-largest status behind NVIDIA ($4.921 trillion leader) and Alphabet ($4.085 trillion), reflecting its current $4.015 trillion valuation and recent $4 trillion reclaim amid a tech sector rebound from Q1 2026 losses. Alphabet's 25.5% odds stem from the razor-thin $70 billion gap, vulnerable to Apple's relative outperformance, bolstered by COO John Ternus's incoming CEO role despite Tim Cook's September transition dip. Microsoft's 5% and lower probabilities for NVIDIA (2.5%), Amazon (1.7%), Broadcom (1.4%), Saudi Aramco, and Tesla acknowledge steeper climbs from $3.217 trillion and below, with no major catalysts beyond AI-driven volatility through May 31 close.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$849
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital on end-of-May market caps, price Apple at 55.5% implied probability to claim third-largest status behind NVIDIA ($4.921 trillion leader) and Alphabet ($4.085 trillion), reflecting its current $4.015 trillion valuation and recent $4 trillion reclaim amid a tech sector rebound from Q1 2026 losses. Alphabet's 25.5% odds stem from the razor-thin $70 billion gap, vulnerable to Apple's relative outperformance, bolstered by COO John Ternus's incoming CEO role despite Tim Cook's September transition dip. Microsoft's 5% and lower probabilities for NVIDIA (2.5%), Amazon (1.7%), Broadcom (1.4%), Saudi Aramco, and Tesla acknowledge steeper climbs from $3.217 trillion and below, with no major catalysts beyond AI-driven volatility through May 31 close.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$849
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 56%, followed by "Alphabet" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3rd largest company end of May?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of May?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of May?" is "Apple" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.