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Sam predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

2%

$911K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

68

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

5%

$27.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

$81 Vol.

$0 Liq.

North American Stallions vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

North American Stallions vs. Sam Houston Bearkats (W)

Sam Houston Bearkats

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

44%

$4.9K Vol.

$335 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$44.5K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

7

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Winner

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Winner

39%

Ludvig Åberg

$14.5K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 20

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 20

50%

Johnny Keefer

$1.7K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 10

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 10

50%

Johnny Keefer

$729 Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Deb Haaland

$31.1K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

53%

Connor McDavid

$697K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

25%

Hideki Matsuyama

$9.0K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

77%

Hong Wang

$528K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

48%

Matt Gaetz

$226K Vol.

$140K Liq.

16

Ends in 7 months

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

11%

Baker Mayfield

$233K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 5

PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Top 5

50%

Ryo Hisatsune

$45 Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

90%

Mark Smith

$17.1K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner

91%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$102K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

15%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$694K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner

NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy Winner

87%

Nick Suzuki

$200K Vol.

$501 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Sam.

Polymarket currently hosts 175 active markets for Sam that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.