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Sam predictions & odds

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Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$45.8K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

22

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

19%

$5.1K Vol.

$41 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Winner

11%

Jon Rahm

$2M Vol.

$756K today

$799K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

100%

Wyndham Clark

$33.7K Vol.

$87.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

2026 U.S. Open: To Make the Cut

2026 U.S. Open: To Make the Cut

94%

Bryson DeChambeau

$10.9K Vol.

$252K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 20

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 20

50%

Xander Schauffele

$10.1K Vol.

$199K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 10

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 10

27%

Sam Burns

$8.7K Vol.

$159K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

9%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$284K Vol.

$178K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 5

PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 5

13%

Sam Burns

$9.8K Vol.

$172K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

97%

Shakira

$83.7K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 30 days

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

43%

Wyndham Clark

$4.6K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

20%

Wyndham Clark

$3.8K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

84%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$455K Liq.

13

Ends in 6 months

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

93%

↑$900B

$698K Vol.

$85.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

9%

Joe Burrow

$240K Vol.

$187K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

27%

Scottie Scheffler

$3M Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round

2026 U.S. Open: Player to Shoot Best Round

1%

Ludvig Åberg

$3.0K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

64%

↑$875B

$228K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

44%

Mark Smith

$23.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

22%

Sam Surridge

$877K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 63 active markets for Sam that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Sam Altman in jail by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 21% chance to Scottie Scheffler. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.