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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

Darian Mensah 21%

Arch Manning 12.8%

Jeremiah Smith 11%

CJ Carr 7%

Polymarket

$11,666 Vol.

Darian Mensah 21%

Arch Manning 12.8%

Jeremiah Smith 11%

CJ Carr 7%

Polymarket

$11,666 Vol.

Darian Mensah

$839 Vol.

21%

Arch Manning

$1,050 Vol.

13%

Jeremiah Smith

$352 Vol.

11%

CJ Carr

$717 Vol.

7%

Trinidad Chambliss

$405 Vol.

7%

Malachi Toney

$654 Vol.

7%

Byrum Brown

$34 Vol.

6%

Keelon Russell

$95 Vol.

6%

Rocco Becht

$34 Vol.

6%

Austin Mack

$34 Vol.

6%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$44 Vol.

6%

Jayden Maiava

$705 Vol.

6%

Gunner Stockton

$165 Vol.

6%

Josh Hoover

$40 Vol.

6%

Sam Leavitt

$1,656 Vol.

6%

Julian Sayin

$1,241 Vol.

5%

Brendan Sorsby

$159 Vol.

5%

Dante Moore

$1,073 Vol.

5%

Kevin Jennings

$78 Vol.

4%

LaNorris Sellers

$78 Vol.

4%

Marcel Reed

$151 Vol.

4%

Will Hammond

$61 Vol.

3%

Drew Mestemaker

$44 Vol.

3%

Bo Jackson

$44 Vol.

3%

Ahmad Hardy

$44 Vol.

3%

Kewan Lacy

$78 Vol.

3%

Demond Williams Jr.

$54 Vol.

2%

John Mateer

$395 Vol.

1%

Bryce Underwood

$1,343 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Darian Mensah leads the 2026 Heisman market at 18% implied probability after two weeks of dominant efficiency for Miami, completing 41 of 45 passes for 653 yards and eight touchdowns with zero interceptions. The race remains tightly bunched behind him because only a handful of games have been played, allowing standout individual outputs and team results to rapidly shift trader consensus. Arch Manning climbed to 12.3% after engineering Texas’s 21-point fourth-quarter comeback victory over top-ranked Ohio State, while Jeremiah Smith reached 10.5% on the strength of his receiving production in that same high-profile contest. Quarterbacks such as CJ Carr, Trinidad Chambliss, and Julian Sayin, along with Miami teammate Malachi Toney, occupy the next tier as programs with College Football Playoff aspirations continue to feature multiple viable candidates whose statistical profiles and schedule strength will determine further movement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,666
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Darian Mensah leads the 2026 Heisman market at 18% implied probability after two weeks of dominant efficiency for Miami, completing 41 of 45 passes for 653 yards and eight touchdowns with zero interceptions. The race remains tightly bunched behind him because only a handful of games have been played, allowing standout individual outputs and team results to rapidly shift trader consensus. Arch Manning climbed to 12.3% after engineering Texas’s 21-point fourth-quarter comeback victory over top-ranked Ohio State, while Jeremiah Smith reached 10.5% on the strength of his receiving production in that same high-profile contest. Quarterbacks such as CJ Carr, Trinidad Chambliss, and Julian Sayin, along with Miami teammate Malachi Toney, occupy the next tier as programs with College Football Playoff aspirations continue to feature multiple viable candidates whose statistical profiles and schedule strength will determine further movement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,666
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darian Mensah" at 21%, followed by "Arch Manning" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is "Darian Mensah" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arch Manning" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.