Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Name: Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Start: 2025-11-18T15:59:41.831922Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

$67,559 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Daniel Penny
$0 Vol.
49%

Donald Brodie
$0 Vol.
49%

Antoine Massey
$5 Vol.
49%

Matt Gaetz
$5 Vol.
48%

Young Thug
$0 Vol.
48%

Stefan Brodie
$5 Vol.
45%

Keonne Rodriguez
$5,473 Vol.
25%
0123456789
%

Steve Bannon
$65 Vol.
21%
0123456789
%

Roger Ver
$112 Vol.
21%
0123456789
%

Martin Shkreli
$329 Vol.
17%

Eric Adams
$33 Vol.
16%

Bob Menendez
$38 Vol.
15%

Sam Bankman-Fried
$2,107 Vol.
12%

Derek Chauvin
$170 Vol.
11%

Elizabeth Holmes
$36 Vol.
10%
0123456789
%

Roger Stone
$258 Vol.
30%
0123456789
%

Julian Assange
$42 Vol.
9%
0123456789
%

Nicolas Maduro
$1,289 Vol.
9%

Elon Musk
$37,617 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

Ghislaine Maxwell
$1,078 Vol.
8%

Edward Snowden
$54 Vol.
8%

Diddy
$765 Vol.
7%

Ryan Salame
$11,046 Vol.
7%

Do Kwon
$6,261 Vol.
6%

Hunter Biden
$130 Vol.
4%

Himself
$613 Vol.
4%

Joe Exotic
$28 Vol.
50%
0123456789
%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Created At: Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Volume

$67,559

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$67,559 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Daniel Penny

$0 Vol.

49%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

49%

Antoine Massey

$5 Vol.

49%

Matt Gaetz

$5 Vol.

48%

Young Thug

$0 Vol.

48%

Stefan Brodie

$5 Vol.

45%

Keonne Rodriguez

$5,473 Vol.

25%

Steve Bannon

$65 Vol.

21%

Roger Ver

$112 Vol.

21%

Martin Shkreli

$329 Vol.

17%

Eric Adams

$33 Vol.

16%

Bob Menendez

$38 Vol.

15%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$2,107 Vol.

12%

Derek Chauvin

$170 Vol.

11%

Elizabeth Holmes

$36 Vol.

10%

Roger Stone

$258 Vol.

30%

Julian Assange

$42 Vol.

Nicolas Maduro

$1,289 Vol.

Elon Musk

$37,617 Vol.

Ghislaine Maxwell

$1,078 Vol.

Edward Snowden

$54 Vol.

Diddy

$765 Vol.

Ryan Salame

$11,046 Vol.

Do Kwon

$6,261 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$130 Vol.

Himself

$613 Vol.

Joe Exotic

$28 Vol.

50%

About

Volume

$67,559

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 18, 2025, 3:46 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

14%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

12%

Beware of external links.