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Politics·Trump

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?

14% chance
Polymarket

$586 Vol.

14% chance
Polymarket

$586 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event, currently scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event. If no qualifying event takes place by March 27, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Trump's National Agriculture Day event on March 18 concluded smoothly without any reported ejections, bolstering trader consensus at 86.5% probability for "No." The controlled gathering, attended by pre-vetted farmers, agribusiness leaders, and Republican lawmakers—core constituencies supportive of Trump's farm trade tariffs and subsidy pledges—featured tight Secret Service screening and focused on policy discussions amid his cabinet transition. Absent pre-event threats, controversial invitees, or protest announcements, the low-drama forum mirrored orderly transition activities like prior victory receptions. With media coverage highlighting agenda items over disruptions, resolution awaits official confirmation, though late-breaking claims remain a slim outlier risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event, currently scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event.

If no qualifying event takes place by March 27, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$586
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event, currently scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event. If no qualifying event takes place by March 27, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Trump's National Agriculture Day event on March 18 concluded smoothly without any reported ejections, bolstering trader consensus at 86.5% probability for "No." The controlled gathering, attended by pre-vetted farmers, agribusiness leaders, and Republican lawmakers—core constituencies supportive of Trump's farm trade tariffs and subsidy pledges—featured tight Secret Service screening and focused on policy discussions amid his cabinet transition. Absent pre-event threats, controversial invitees, or protest announcements, the low-drama forum mirrored orderly transition activities like prior victory receptions. With media coverage highlighting agenda items over disruptions, resolution awaits official confirmation, though late-breaking claims remain a slim outlier risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event, currently scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of Trump's National Agriculture Day event.

If no qualifying event takes place by March 27, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$586
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 14% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 14¢, the market collectively assigns a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?" is 14% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.