Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, at 35.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 26.5%, capturing his typical moderate cadence amid unpredictable news cycles. This tight race reflects recent patterns: Musk's daily output averaged 25-35 posts in late 2024 during political rallies and Tesla updates, dipping below 20 on quiet days but surging past 50 amid controversies like the 2024 election or Cybertruck recalls. Lower buckets trail due to historical rarity of sub-40 totals over three days, while highs above 115 demand blockbuster catalysts such as SpaceX launches or regulatory fights. Traders eye 2026's emerging storylines—Robotaxi rollouts, Mars ambitions—for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 36%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$58,926 Vol.
NEW
$58,926 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
36%
90-114
27%
115-139
12%
140-164
4%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 36%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$58,926 Vol.
NEW
$58,926 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
$4,147 Vol.
2%
40-64
$5,622 Vol.
20%
65-89
$4,154 Vol.
36%
90-114
$3,914 Vol.
27%
115-139
$1,906 Vol.
12%
140-164
$3,779 Vol.
4%
165-189
$4,131 Vol.
1%
190-214
$6,157 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8,655 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,460 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, at 35.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 26.5%, capturing his typical moderate cadence amid unpredictable news cycles. This tight race reflects recent patterns: Musk's daily output averaged 25-35 posts in late 2024 during political rallies and Tesla updates, dipping below 20 on quiet days but surging past 50 amid controversies like the 2024 election or Cybertruck recalls. Lower buckets trail due to historical rarity of sub-40 totals over three days, while highs above 115 demand blockbuster catalysts such as SpaceX launches or regulatory fights. Traders eye 2026's emerging storylines—Robotaxi rollouts, Mars ambitions—for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$58,926End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, at 35.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 26.5%, capturing his typical moderate cadence amid unpredictable news cycles. This tight race reflects recent patterns: Musk's daily output averaged 25-35 posts in late 2024 during political rallies and Tesla updates, dipping below 20 on quiet days but surging past 50 amid controversies like the 2024 election or Cybertruck recalls. Lower buckets trail due to historical rarity of sub-40 totals over three days, while highs above 115 demand blockbuster catalysts such as SpaceX launches or regulatory fights. Traders eye 2026's emerging storylines—Robotaxi rollouts, Mars ambitions—for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$58,926End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, at 35.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 90-114 at 26.5%, capturing his typical moderate cadence amid unpredictable news cycles. This tight race reflects recent patterns: Musk's daily output averaged 25-35 posts in late 2024 during political rallies and Tesla updates, dipping below 20 on quiet days but surging past 50 amid controversies like the 2024 election or Cybertruck recalls. Lower buckets trail due to historical rarity of sub-40 totals over three days, while highs above 115 demand blockbuster catalysts such as SpaceX launches or regulatory fights. Traders eye 2026's emerging storylines—Robotaxi rollouts, Mars ambitions—for momentum shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in volatile celebrity social media markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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