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Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

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Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

67% chance
Polymarket
NEW
67% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Kanye West, now Ye, has maintained radio silence on X (formerly Twitter) since deleting his account in December 2022 after a series of antisemitic posts that led to his suspension and reinstatement under Elon Musk. With no confirmed X activity in over 16 months—including the past 30 days amid Vultures 2 rollout and ongoing Adidas lawsuits—trader consensus prices Yes at 66.5% implied probability, driven by Ye's track record of erratic social media resurgences tied to album drops, public feuds, and cultural provocations. Recent Instagram Lives showcasing rants keep his online presence volatile, fueling bets on an impulsive pre-April 30 return, though prolonged dormancy and platform moderation risks introduce upset potential ahead of the market close.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
Volume
$82
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Kanye West, now Ye, has maintained radio silence on X (formerly Twitter) since deleting his account in December 2022 after a series of antisemitic posts that led to his suspension and reinstatement under Elon Musk. With no confirmed X activity in over 16 months—including the past 30 days amid Vultures 2 rollout and ongoing Adidas lawsuits—trader consensus prices Yes at 66.5% implied probability, driven by Ye's track record of erratic social media resurgences tied to album drops, public feuds, and cultural provocations. Recent Instagram Lives showcasing rants keep his online presence volatile, fueling bets on an impulsive pre-April 30 return, though prolonged dormancy and platform moderation risks introduce upset potential ahead of the market close.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.
Volume
$82
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 67% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 67¢, the market collectively assigns a 67% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" is 67% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 67% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.