Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' repeated calls for patience on Bond 26 casting amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and no official announcement as the June 30 resolution deadline nears. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 5.5% lead stems from persistent industry buzz positioning him as a top choice, while Jacob Elordi's recent surge to 4.2% follows May 6-8 reports from sources like Digital Spy claiming he's in "pole position" after talks with the studio and director Denis Villeneuve. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.4% on earlier rumors, but unverified speculation dominates, underscoring the high uncertainty in this secretive franchise reboot with production still ramping up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen 68%
Callum Turner 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 4.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%
$2,156,376 Vol.
$2,156,376 Vol.

No Bond chosen
68%

Callum Turner
6%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
No Bond chosen 68%
Callum Turner 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 4.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.4%
$2,156,376 Vol.
$2,156,376 Vol.

No Bond chosen
68%

Callum Turner
6%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 68% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' repeated calls for patience on Bond 26 casting amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and no official announcement as the June 30 resolution deadline nears. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 5.5% lead stems from persistent industry buzz positioning him as a top choice, while Jacob Elordi's recent surge to 4.2% follows May 6-8 reports from sources like Digital Spy claiming he's in "pole position" after talks with the studio and director Denis Villeneuve. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 2.4% on earlier rumors, but unverified speculation dominates, underscoring the high uncertainty in this secretive franchise reboot with production still ramping up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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