Early festival buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut* has positioned her as the market frontrunner, with recent Telluride acclaim highlighting a transformative, career-highlight turn that aligns with Academy preferences for showy dramatic work. Inde Navarrette’s acclaimed breakout in the horror hit *Obsession* keeps her in contention at a lower implied probability, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and others draw support from announced projects and prior critical profiles. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and voting far off, the field remains highly competitive, driven by release timing, precursor momentum, and guild signals rather than locked consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 53%
Inde Navarrette 20%
Sandra Hüller 12.3%
Ruth Madeley 5.5%
$114,870 Vol.
$114,870 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
53%
Inde Navarrette
20%
Sandra Hüller
12%
Ruth Madeley
5%
Renate Reinsve
5%
Sophie Okonedo
4%
Virginie Efira
3%
Michelle Williams
2%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Julianne Moore 53%
Inde Navarrette 20%
Sandra Hüller 12.3%
Ruth Madeley 5.5%
$114,870 Vol.
$114,870 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$75,901 Vol.
53%
Inde Navarrette
$22,247 Vol.
20%
Sandra Hüller
$3,313 Vol.
12%
Ruth Madeley
$611 Vol.
5%
Renate Reinsve
$11,396 Vol.
5%
Sophie Okonedo
$45 Vol.
4%
Virginie Efira
$113 Vol.
3%
Michelle Williams
$200 Vol.
2%
Scarlett Johansson
$114 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$147 Vol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$782 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early festival buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut* has positioned her as the market frontrunner, with recent Telluride acclaim highlighting a transformative, career-highlight turn that aligns with Academy preferences for showy dramatic work. Inde Navarrette’s acclaimed breakout in the horror hit *Obsession* keeps her in contention at a lower implied probability, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and others draw support from announced projects and prior critical profiles. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and voting far off, the field remains highly competitive, driven by release timing, precursor momentum, and guild signals rather than locked consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$114,870End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early festival buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut* has positioned her as the market frontrunner, with recent Telluride acclaim highlighting a transformative, career-highlight turn that aligns with Academy preferences for showy dramatic work. Inde Navarrette’s acclaimed breakout in the horror hit *Obsession* keeps her in contention at a lower implied probability, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and others draw support from announced projects and prior critical profiles. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and voting far off, the field remains highly competitive, driven by release timing, precursor momentum, and guild signals rather than locked consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,870End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early festival buzz around Julianne Moore’s lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut* has positioned her as the market frontrunner, with recent Telluride acclaim highlighting a transformative, career-highlight turn that aligns with Academy preferences for showy dramatic work. Inde Navarrette’s acclaimed breakout in the horror hit *Obsession* keeps her in contention at a lower implied probability, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and others draw support from announced projects and prior critical profiles. With the 2027 ceremony still months away and voting far off, the field remains highly competitive, driven by release timing, precursor momentum, and guild signals rather than locked consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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