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Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

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Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

$3,193,077 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,193,077 Vol.

Polymarket

Brazil

$29,212 Vol.

5%

India

$46,095 Vol.

3%

Italy

$194,690 Vol.

2%

U.K.

$125,827 Vol.

1%

Sweden

$225,252 Vol.

1%

Belgium

$37,568 Vol.

1%

France

$62,720 Vol.

1%

Spain

$100,136 Vol.

1%

Finland

$577,866 Vol.

1%

Germany

$108,123 Vol.

1%

Russia

$274,084 Vol.

1%

Denmark

$343,295 Vol.

1%

Netherlands

$280,438 Vol.

1%

Switzerland

$50,065 Vol.

1%

Norway

$392,905 Vol.

<1%

Palestine

$43,665 Vol.

<1%

China

$119,249 Vol.

<1%

Ukraine

$79,101 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified on January 22, 2026, in Davos to oversee Gaza reconstruction, has drawn founding commitments from over 25 nations, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bahrain, Morocco, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and others from Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. European powers like France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Sweden declined invitations, citing concerns over scope and international law. No major new diplomatic announcements have emerged in the past week ahead of the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on verified official statements and potential last-minute accessions amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and reconstruction funding debates.

President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified on January 22, 2026, in Davos to oversee Gaza reconstruction, has drawn founding commitments from over 25 nations, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bahrain, Morocco, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and others from Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. European powers like France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Sweden declined invitations, citing concerns over scope and international law. No major new diplomatic announcements have emerged in the past week ahead of the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on verified official statements and potential last-minute accessions amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and reconstruction funding debates.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified on January 22, 2026, in Davos to oversee Gaza reconstruction, has drawn founding commitments from over 25 nations, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bahrain, Morocco, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and others from Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. European powers like France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Sweden declined invitations, citing concerns over scope and international law. No major new diplomatic announcements have emerged in the past week ahead of the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on verified official statements and potential last-minute accessions amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and reconstruction funding debates.

President Trump's Board of Peace, ratified on January 22, 2026, in Davos to oversee Gaza reconstruction, has drawn founding commitments from over 25 nations, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bahrain, Morocco, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and others from Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. European powers like France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Sweden declined invitations, citing concerns over scope and international law. No major new diplomatic announcements have emerged in the past week ahead of the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on verified official statements and potential last-minute accessions amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and reconstruction funding debates.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 100%, followed by "Turkiye" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" is "Israel" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Turkiye" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.