Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to Washington from September 23–25, 2026, at President Trump’s invitation represents the central driver of trader positioning on whether the Chinese leader will enter U.S. territory by year-end. This marks Xi’s first official state visit since 2015 and his first trip to the U.S. since the 2023 APEC meeting. Preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng have focused on extending the October 2025 trade truce set to expire in November, alongside AI guardrails and rare-earth flows. The three-day itinerary includes a rare tarmac greeting, White House state dinner, and discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, and bilateral stability, with both sides emphasizing managed differences over major breakthroughs. No scheduled events after this window appear likely to alter the visit’s occurrence before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Xi Jinping visit US by...?
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
$3,141,920 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
September 23
100%
September 24
100%
September 30
100%
October 31
100%
December 31
100%
$3,141,920 Vol.
September 23
$644,264 Vol.
100%
September 24
$385,079 Vol.
100%
September 30
$806,073 Vol.
100%
October 31
$171,843 Vol.
100%
December 31
$1,132,571 Vol.
100%
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to Washington from September 23–25, 2026, at President Trump’s invitation represents the central driver of trader positioning on whether the Chinese leader will enter U.S. territory by year-end. This marks Xi’s first official state visit since 2015 and his first trip to the U.S. since the 2023 APEC meeting. Preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng have focused on extending the October 2025 trade truce set to expire in November, alongside AI guardrails and rare-earth flows. The three-day itinerary includes a rare tarmac greeting, White House state dinner, and discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, and bilateral stability, with both sides emphasizing managed differences over major breakthroughs. No scheduled events after this window appear likely to alter the visit’s occurrence before December 31.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 6:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,141,920End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to Washington from September 23–25, 2026, at President Trump’s invitation represents the central driver of trader positioning on whether the Chinese leader will enter U.S. territory by year-end. This marks Xi’s first official state visit since 2015 and his first trip to the U.S. since the 2023 APEC meeting. Preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng have focused on extending the October 2025 trade truce set to expire in November, alongside AI guardrails and rare-earth flows. The three-day itinerary includes a rare tarmac greeting, White House state dinner, and discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, and bilateral stability, with both sides emphasizing managed differences over major breakthroughs. No scheduled events after this window appear likely to alter the visit’s occurrence before December 31.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,141,920End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Xi Jinping’s confirmed state visit to Washington from September 23–25, 2026, at President Trump’s invitation represents the central driver of trader positioning on whether the Chinese leader will enter U.S. territory by year-end. This marks Xi’s first official state visit since 2015 and his first trip to the U.S. since the 2023 APEC meeting. Preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng have focused on extending the October 2025 trade truce set to expire in November, alongside AI guardrails and rare-earth flows. The three-day itinerary includes a rare tarmac greeting, White House state dinner, and discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, and bilateral stability, with both sides emphasizing managed differences over major breakthroughs. No scheduled events after this window appear likely to alter the visit’s occurrence before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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