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Italy predictions & odds

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Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

8%

$45.9K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

21

Ends in 2 months

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

53%

Andrea Martella

$29.7K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

$148 Vol.

$680 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

64%

Giorgia Meloni

$1.7K Vol.

$101K Liq.

5

Ends in over 2 years

T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA

T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA

56%

USA

$0 Vol.

$327 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

51%

$9.2K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

7%

$109K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 2 months

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

37%

April 30

$4.6K Vol.

$109 Liq.

3

Ends in 7 days

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

17%

France

$730M Vol.

$10M today

$165M Liq.

618

Ends in 3 months

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

36%

Finland

$107M Vol.

$2M today

$15M Liq.

447

Ends in 23 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

84%

Pakistan

$2M Vol.

$119K today

$242K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

4%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$117K today

$284K Liq.

138

Ends in 7 days

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

36%

Israel

$6M Vol.

$82.1K today

$1M Liq.

6

Ends in 23 days

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

20%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$272K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

30%

Australia

$1M Vol.

$857K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

94%

China

$289K Vol.

$126K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

89%

Finland

$425K Vol.

$396K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

82%

No meeting before 2027

$2M Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

80%

Finland

$137K Vol.

$292K Liq.

2

Ends in 23 days

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

25%

New Zealand

$562K Vol.

$153K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Italy.

Polymarket currently hosts 147 active markets for Italy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $857.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Italy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.