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Hamas predictions & odds

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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$89.8K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

14

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

16%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

978

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

12%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

356

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

10%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

158

Ends in about 2 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$826K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

45

Ends in 24 days

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

25%

$128K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

249

Ends in 24 days

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$4.5K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

8%

June 30

$612K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

4%

$6.7K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

15%

$50.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

42%

December 31

$538K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

8

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

37%

3

$7M Vol.

$403K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

46%

Likud

$1.3K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

20%

$14.0K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC

40%

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC

$0 Vol.

$555 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

29

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

17%

$173K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

45%

7

$1M Vol.

$653K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hamas.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Hamas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to 3. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hamas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.