President-elect Donald Trump has not announced or initiated any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026, and recently affirmed in December interviews that he has "no intention" of firing him despite past criticisms of Fed interest rate policies. Post-election rhetoric has softened, with Trump praising Powell's handling of inflation, reflecting trader consensus on limited executive action risks given legal protections for removal only "for cause." Key factors include Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent's measured Fed comments and upcoming FOMC meetings starting January 28; watch for any pre-inauguration shifts on January 20 or nominations signaling policy clashes. Absent new catalysts like scandals or rate disputes, structural barriers favor continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTrump drops Powell investigation by…?
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
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June 30
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$2 Vol.
April 30
$1 Vol.
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Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced or initiated any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026, and recently affirmed in December interviews that he has "no intention" of firing him despite past criticisms of Fed interest rate policies. Post-election rhetoric has softened, with Trump praising Powell's handling of inflation, reflecting trader consensus on limited executive action risks given legal protections for removal only "for cause." Key factors include Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent's measured Fed comments and upcoming FOMC meetings starting January 28; watch for any pre-inauguration shifts on January 20 or nominations signaling policy clashes. Absent new catalysts like scandals or rate disputes, structural barriers favor continuity.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced or initiated any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026, and recently affirmed in December interviews that he has "no intention" of firing him despite past criticisms of Fed interest rate policies. Post-election rhetoric has softened, with Trump praising Powell's handling of inflation, reflecting trader consensus on limited executive action risks given legal protections for removal only "for cause." Key factors include Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent's measured Fed comments and upcoming FOMC meetings starting January 28; watch for any pre-inauguration shifts on January 20 or nominations signaling policy clashes. Absent new catalysts like scandals or rate disputes, structural barriers favor continuity.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not announced or initiated any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026, and recently affirmed in December interviews that he has "no intention" of firing him despite past criticisms of Fed interest rate policies. Post-election rhetoric has softened, with Trump praising Powell's handling of inflation, reflecting trader consensus on limited executive action risks given legal protections for removal only "for cause." Key factors include Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent's measured Fed comments and upcoming FOMC meetings starting January 28; watch for any pre-inauguration shifts on January 20 or nominations signaling policy clashes. Absent new catalysts like scandals or rate disputes, structural barriers favor continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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