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Amazon predictions & odds

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Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$180 billion

$83 Vol.

$664 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

55%

$4.5K Vol.

$497 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

2%

$14.3K Vol.

$105 Liq.

10

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

78%

↑ $280

$33.3K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of May 4 2026?

36%

↑ $280

$16.3K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 6?

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 6?

99%

$260

$352 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above___?

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above___?

98%

$235

$795 Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 6?

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 6?

50%

Up

$471 Vol.

$870 Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of May 4 at ___?

Amazon (AMZN) closes week of May 4 at ___?

29%

$270-$275

$67 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Who will be featured on ICEMAN?

Who will be featured on ICEMAN?

85%

21 Savage

$80.0K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

89%

Covid

$55.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 days

Who will be featured on Petal?

Who will be featured on Petal?

73%

The Weeknd

$93 Vol.

$893 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will be featured on "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love"?

Who will be featured on "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love"?

43%

Phoebe Bridgers

$1 Vol.

$124 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?

Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?

64%

$218 Vol.

$112 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

67%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$736K today

$949K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

56%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$460K today

$1M Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

75%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$148K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

60%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$959K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

50%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$578K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

55%

Alphabet

$54.0K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Amazon.

Polymarket currently hosts 188 active markets for Amazon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Amazon 2026 capex above ___?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “AWS service disrupted by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Amazon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.