XAI predictions & odds

·
Grok 4.20 released on...?

XAI

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released on...?

90%

No release by February 14

$81.1k Vol.

$32.7k Liq.

Ends in 10 days

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

XAI

Elon Musk

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

67%

25%+

$5.1k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

XAI

AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

68%

Google

$312k Vol.

$37.4k Liq.

16

Ends in 5 months

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

XAI

Elon Musk

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

8%

$2.1k Vol.

$1.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

XAI

Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

54%

$54.6k Vol.

$7.7k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months