Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

25%

June 30

$843K Vol.

$56.6K Liq.

49

Ends in 3 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

43%

None in 2026

$24.7K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

16%

April 30

$42.5K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

1

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

47%

↑ 1550

$73.1K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

48%

12+

$133K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 6 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 6 at ___?

29%

$295-$300

$2.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

93%

40%+

$264K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

94%

40%+

$65.6K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

70%

↓ $280

$12.3K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 6?

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on April 6?

89%

$285

$2.8K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of April?

99%

$220

$16.4K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 6?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 6?

41%

Up

$20 Vol.

$199 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above___?

99%

$265

$90 Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

92%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$269K today

$867K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

66%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$482K Liq.

61

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

90%

Anthropic

$881K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

93%

Anthropic

$22.5K Vol.

$76.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

86%

Anthropic

$25.4K Vol.

$95.0K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

70%

Anthropic

$2.7K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

82%

Google

$135K Vol.

$99.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Google.

Polymarket currently hosts 189 active markets for Google that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gemini 3.5 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 6?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Google predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.