Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$545,563 Vol.

Google 57%

OpenAI 15%

xAI 12.9%

Anthropic 5.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$545,563
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM
shield

Beware of external links.

$545,563 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Google 57%

OpenAI 15%

xAI 12.9%

Anthropic 5.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Market icon

Google

$215,955 Vol.

57%

Market icon

OpenAI

$10,553 Vol.

15%

Market icon

xAI

$13,052 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Anthropic

$8,908 Vol.

6%

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DeepSeek

$8,282 Vol.

3%

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Alibaba

$8,749 Vol.

2%

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Z.ai

$26,658 Vol.

1%

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Moonshot

$14,083 Vol.

1%

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Mistral

$205,128 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$34,196 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$545,563
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM