Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$610,739 Vol.

Google 67%

xAI 13.6%

OpenAI 13%

Anthropic 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$610,739
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$610,739 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Google 67%

xAI 13.6%

OpenAI 13%

Anthropic 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$219,639 Vol.

67%

Market icon

xAI

$15,567 Vol.

14%

Market icon

OpenAI

$13,685 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Anthropic

$12,485 Vol.

6%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$11,364 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Alibaba

$15,745 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$49,784 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$17,812 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Meituan

$43,339 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$211,317 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$610,739
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.