Which company has best AI model end of June?
$608,953 Vol.
Google 65%
xAI 14.7%
OpenAI 13%
Anthropic 6.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$219,245 Vol.
65%

$219,245 Vol.
65%

xAI
$15,273 Vol.
15%

xAI
$15,273 Vol.
15%

OpenAI
$13,551 Vol.
13%

OpenAI
$13,551 Vol.
13%

Anthropic
$12,372 Vol.
6%

Anthropic
$12,372 Vol.
6%

DeepSeek
$11,251 Vol.
2%

DeepSeek
$11,251 Vol.
2%

Meituan
$43,225 Vol.
2%

Meituan
$43,225 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$15,631 Vol.
1%

Alibaba
$15,631 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$49,671 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$49,671 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$17,658 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$17,658 Vol.
1%

Mistral
$211,076 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$211,076 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTC
Volume
$608,953End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$608,953 Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Google 65%
xAI 14.7%
OpenAI 13%
Anthropic 6.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$219,245 Vol.
65%

xAI
$15,273 Vol.
15%

OpenAI
$13,551 Vol.
13%

Anthropic
$12,372 Vol.
6%

DeepSeek
$11,251 Vol.
2%

Meituan
$43,225 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$15,631 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$49,671 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$17,658 Vol.
1%

Mistral
$211,076 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$608,953End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.