Google 48%
Anthropic 37.9%
OpenAI 4.3%
xAI 4.1%
$90,933 Vol.
$90,933 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

50%

Anthropic
38%

OpenAI
4%

xAI
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Moonshot
1%

Z.ai
1%

Alibaba
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Google 48%
Anthropic 37.9%
OpenAI 4.3%
xAI 4.1%
$90,933 Vol.
$90,933 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

$10,316 Vol.
50%

Anthropic
$7,059 Vol.
38%

OpenAI
$15,750 Vol.
4%

xAI
$6,943 Vol.
4%

DeepSeek
$24,108 Vol.
4%

Moonshot
$4,060 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$4,154 Vol.
1%

Alibaba
$4,039 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$4,314 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$5,196 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$4,993 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$90,933End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...



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