Google 49%
xAI 14%
OpenAI 10%
Anthropic 7.8%
$24,998 Vol.
$24,998 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Google
$4,218 Vol.
49%
$4,218 Vol.
49%
xAI
$1,659 Vol.
14%
xAI
$1,659 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$4,127 Vol.
10%
OpenAI
$4,127 Vol.
10%
Anthropic
$2,187 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$2,187 Vol.
8%
Baidu
$1,157 Vol.
8%
Baidu
$1,157 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$3,617 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$3,617 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$2,458 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$2,458 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,150 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,150 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$1,670 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$1,670 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,466 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$1,466 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,289 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,289 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$24,998End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Google 49%
xAI 14%
OpenAI 10%
Anthropic 7.8%
$24,998 Vol.
$24,998 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$4,218 Vol.
49%
xAI
$1,659 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$4,127 Vol.
10%
Anthropic
$2,187 Vol.
8%
Baidu
$1,157 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$3,617 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$2,458 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,150 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$1,670 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,466 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,289 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$24,998End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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