Google 81%
xAI 11%
OpenAI 4.3%
DeepSeek 2.4%
$36,895 Vol.
$36,895 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

Google
$6,015 Vol.
81%

$6,015 Vol.
81%

xAI
$5,379 Vol.
11%

xAI
$5,379 Vol.
11%

OpenAI
$2,650 Vol.
4%

OpenAI
$2,650 Vol.
4%

DeepSeek
$2,969 Vol.
2%

DeepSeek
$2,969 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,268 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,268 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$2,863 Vol.
1%

Alibaba
$2,863 Vol.
1%

Mistral
$2,758 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$2,758 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$5,379 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$5,379 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$2,816 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$2,816 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$3,796 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$3,796 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$36,895End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Google 81%
xAI 11%
OpenAI 4.3%
DeepSeek 2.4%
$36,895 Vol.
$36,895 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

$6,015 Vol.
81%

xAI
$5,379 Vol.
11%

OpenAI
$2,650 Vol.
4%

DeepSeek
$2,969 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$2,268 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$2,863 Vol.
1%

Mistral
$2,758 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$5,379 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$2,816 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$3,796 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$36,895End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.