Google 59%
OpenAI 14%
xAI 19%
Anthropic 5.5%
$12,064 Vol.
$12,064 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Google
$413 Vol.
59%
$413 Vol.
59%
OpenAI
$630 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$630 Vol.
14%
xAI
$136 Vol.
19%
xAI
$136 Vol.
19%
Anthropic
$2,357 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$2,357 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$1,075 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$1,075 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,699 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,699 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$1,428 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$1,428 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$948 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$948 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,126 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,126 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$2,250 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$2,250 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,064End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Google 59%
OpenAI 14%
xAI 19%
Anthropic 5.5%
$12,064 Vol.
$12,064 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$413 Vol.
59%
OpenAI
$630 Vol.
14%
xAI
$136 Vol.
19%
Anthropic
$2,357 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$1,075 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,699 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$1,428 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$948 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$1,126 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$2,250 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$12,064End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.