SpaceX’s recent IPO prospectus and targeted $135 per share pricing, which implies a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq listing, anchor the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Traders are pricing in robust demand driven by 2025 revenue exceeding $18 billion, Starlink and Starship expansion momentum, and the xAI integration that broadens exposure across aerospace, satellite communications, and AI infrastructure. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects institutional appetite for the record $75 billion raise, though final valuation remains subject to roadshow feedback, broader equity market conditions, and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T 93%
1.50-1.75T 4.8%
2.00-2.25T 1.9%
<1.25T <1%
$201,056 Vol.
$201,056 Vol.
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1.50-1.75T
5%
1.75-2.00T
93%
2.00-2.25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
<1%
2.50T+
<1%
1.75-2.00T 93%
1.50-1.75T 4.8%
2.00-2.25T 1.9%
<1.25T <1%
$201,056 Vol.
$201,056 Vol.
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1.50-1.75T
5%
1.75-2.00T
93%
2.00-2.25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
<1%
2.50T+
<1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent IPO prospectus and targeted $135 per share pricing, which implies a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq listing, anchor the overwhelming market-implied odds for the 1.75-2.00T range. Traders are pricing in robust demand driven by 2025 revenue exceeding $18 billion, Starlink and Starship expansion momentum, and the xAI integration that broadens exposure across aerospace, satellite communications, and AI infrastructure. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects institutional appetite for the record $75 billion raise, though final valuation remains subject to roadshow feedback, broader equity market conditions, and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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