SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 following a confidential SEC filing in April, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.75-2.00 trillion dollar range that commands the highest implied probability. Recent reports indicate the company is targeting a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation while seeking to raise roughly $75 billion, a sharp increase from the $1.25 trillion combined figure after its February merger with xAI. This pricing implies forward revenue multiples exceeding 100 times on 2025 sales of approximately $15-18 billion, prompting debate over growth sustainability amid ongoing net losses and ambitious multi-planetary and AI initiatives. Institutional interest, including potential multibillion-dollar commitments from major asset managers, supports the upper end of the distribution, yet broader market reception and final roadshow demand remain key swing factors that could shift outcomes toward higher or lower brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.75-2.00T 33%
2.00-2.25T 33%
1.50-1.75T 18.3%
2.25-2.50T 13.5%
$139,656 Vol.
$139,656 Vol.
<1.25T
3%
1.25-1.50T
6%
1.50-1.75T
18%
1.75-2.00T
33%
2.00-2.25T
24%
2.25-2.50T
14%
2.50T+
17%
1.75-2.00T 33%
2.00-2.25T 33%
1.50-1.75T 18.3%
2.25-2.50T 13.5%
$139,656 Vol.
$139,656 Vol.
<1.25T
$60,635 Vol.
3%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 Vol.
6%
1.50-1.75T
$9,240 Vol.
18%
1.75-2.00T
$15,008 Vol.
33%
2.00-2.25T
$14,386 Vol.
24%
2.25-2.50T
$10,105 Vol.
14%
2.50T+
$14,243 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 following a confidential SEC filing in April, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.75-2.00 trillion dollar range that commands the highest implied probability. Recent reports indicate the company is targeting a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation while seeking to raise roughly $75 billion, a sharp increase from the $1.25 trillion combined figure after its February merger with xAI. This pricing implies forward revenue multiples exceeding 100 times on 2025 sales of approximately $15-18 billion, prompting debate over growth sustainability amid ongoing net losses and ambitious multi-planetary and AI initiatives. Institutional interest, including potential multibillion-dollar commitments from major asset managers, supports the upper end of the distribution, yet broader market reception and final roadshow demand remain key swing factors that could shift outcomes toward higher or lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$139,656Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 following a confidential SEC filing in April, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.75-2.00 trillion dollar range that commands the highest implied probability. Recent reports indicate the company is targeting a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation while seeking to raise roughly $75 billion, a sharp increase from the $1.25 trillion combined figure after its February merger with xAI. This pricing implies forward revenue multiples exceeding 100 times on 2025 sales of approximately $15-18 billion, prompting debate over growth sustainability amid ongoing net losses and ambitious multi-planetary and AI initiatives. Institutional interest, including potential multibillion-dollar commitments from major asset managers, supports the upper end of the distribution, yet broader market reception and final roadshow demand remain key swing factors that could shift outcomes toward higher or lower brackets.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$139,656Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a potential Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 following a confidential SEC filing in April, anchors trader sentiment around the 1.75-2.00 trillion dollar range that commands the highest implied probability. Recent reports indicate the company is targeting a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation while seeking to raise roughly $75 billion, a sharp increase from the $1.25 trillion combined figure after its February merger with xAI. This pricing implies forward revenue multiples exceeding 100 times on 2025 sales of approximately $15-18 billion, prompting debate over growth sustainability amid ongoing net losses and ambitious multi-planetary and AI initiatives. Institutional interest, including potential multibillion-dollar commitments from major asset managers, supports the upper end of the distribution, yet broader market reception and final roadshow demand remain key swing factors that could shift outcomes toward higher or lower brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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