SpaceX’s targeting of a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation at $135 per share, announced ahead of its June roadshow and expected mid-June listing, underpins the 91% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing reflects robust demand for the largest-ever offering, supported by Starlink’s revenue trajectory exceeding $11 billion in 2025, integration with xAI capabilities, and Starship development milestones that position the company at roughly 100x trailing sales. Institutional interest and limited float amplify pricing power, though scenarios such as weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback, regulatory delays on spectrum acquisitions, or post-pricing market volatility could shift the final valuation outside this band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 91%
1.50～1.75兆 5.1%
2.00〜2.25兆 2.6%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 1.6%
$197,230 Vol.
$197,230 Vol.
1.25兆未満
1%
1.25〜1.50兆
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
5%
1.75～2.00兆
91%
2.00〜2.25兆
3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
2%
2.50兆ドル以上
<1%
1.75～2.00兆 91%
1.50～1.75兆 5.1%
2.00〜2.25兆 2.6%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 1.6%
$197,230 Vol.
$197,230 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$66,634 Vol.
1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$20,275 Vol.
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
$15,857 Vol.
5%
1.75～2.00兆
$36,257 Vol.
91%
2.00〜2.25兆
$21,555 Vol.
3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$16,418 Vol.
2%
2.50兆ドル以上
$20,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s targeting of a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation at $135 per share, announced ahead of its June roadshow and expected mid-June listing, underpins the 91% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing reflects robust demand for the largest-ever offering, supported by Starlink’s revenue trajectory exceeding $11 billion in 2025, integration with xAI capabilities, and Starship development milestones that position the company at roughly 100x trailing sales. Institutional interest and limited float amplify pricing power, though scenarios such as weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback, regulatory delays on spectrum acquisitions, or post-pricing market volatility could shift the final valuation outside this band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$197,230マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s targeting of a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation at $135 per share, announced ahead of its June roadshow and expected mid-June listing, underpins the 91% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing reflects robust demand for the largest-ever offering, supported by Starlink’s revenue trajectory exceeding $11 billion in 2025, integration with xAI capabilities, and Starship development milestones that position the company at roughly 100x trailing sales. Institutional interest and limited float amplify pricing power, though scenarios such as weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback, regulatory delays on spectrum acquisitions, or post-pricing market volatility could shift the final valuation outside this band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$197,230マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s targeting of a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation at $135 per share, announced ahead of its June roadshow and expected mid-June listing, underpins the 91% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing reflects robust demand for the largest-ever offering, supported by Starlink’s revenue trajectory exceeding $11 billion in 2025, integration with xAI capabilities, and Starship development milestones that position the company at roughly 100x trailing sales. Institutional interest and limited float amplify pricing power, though scenarios such as weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback, regulatory delays on spectrum acquisitions, or post-pricing market volatility could shift the final valuation outside this band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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