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Optimus predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$71.9K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

25%

60-79

$2.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

84%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$17.7K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

82%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$29.8K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

50%

40-59

$1.1K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

64%

60-79

$9.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

48%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

109

Ends in 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

61%

$493K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

63%

↓ $0.60

$107 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

40%

↑ $212

$50.1K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

95%

960

$332 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Paramount+ subscribers above __ in Q1?

Paramount+ subscribers above __ in Q1?

94%

74M

$468 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

75%

Alibaba

$55.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

60%

Anthropic

$118 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will NATO Secretary General say during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?

What will NATO Secretary General say during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?

80%

NATO 5+ times

$10 Vol.

$152 Liq.

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$54.8K Vol.

$2 Liq.

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

24%

20-24

$8.6K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

81%

Anthropic

$37.5K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

43%

Moonshot

$1 Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

51%

Team Orange Gaming

$0 Vol.

$602 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.