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Optimus predictions & odds

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

98%

June 30

$83.1K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

35%

100-119

$3.0K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

80%

100-119

$26.2K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

98%

OpenAI

$17.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

enjoy boys

$55.8K Vol.

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

32%

80-99

$600 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

73%

↑ $216

$90.2K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

100%

Team Nemesis

$114K Vol.

$114K today

$248K Liq.

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

78%

↑ $280

$36.7K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

68%

$545K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

+ 3 more

$467 Vol.

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

Manufacturing

+ 21 more

$37.2K Vol.

5

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

97%

Street

$6.3K Vol.

$523 Liq.

7

Ends in 3 days

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

100%

MODUS

$38.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

49%

Anthropic

$51.6K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of May 4 2026?

48%

↑ $212

$25.8K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above ___?

$56 billion

+ 3 more

$12.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Team Secret Whales

$687 Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

35%

Baidu

$18.9K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.