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Starship predictions & odds

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

44

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

60%

<5

$448K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

31%

$110K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Elon Bull Run Parlay

6%

$10.1K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$2M Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

19

Ends in over 1 year

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

62%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

62%

2.0T+

$919K Vol.

$81.8K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

43

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

33%

2.0T-2.5T

$2M Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

8

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

75%

$36.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

69%

June

$334K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

98%

SpaceX

$73.1K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

92%

↑ $435

$109K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

90%

NASDAQ

$95.1K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

3%

$200K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

60%

1.75-2.00T

$132K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

1

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

5%

$3.3K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

57%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

46%

Morgan Stanley

$2M Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of May 11 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of May 11 2026?

81%

↓ $427.50

$0 Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Starship.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Starship that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to 1T+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Starship predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.