Elon Musk predictions & odds

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What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

81%

$X

$2m Vol.

$121k today

$69.9k Liq.

118

Ends in almost 2 years

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Elon Musk

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

68%

<350k

$379k Vol.

$97.8k today

$23.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

87%

1T+

$2m Vol.

$152k Liq.

39

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

86%

>$1T

$424k Vol.

$94.6k Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Successful splash down?

$872k Vol.

$8.0k Liq.

11

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk

Business

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

3%

$2m Vol.

$83.8k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

3rd richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Business

3rd richest person on March 31?

55%

Sergey Brin

$41.7k Vol.

$18.5k Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

30%

7-8

$164k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

94%

No release by February 14

$105k Vol.

$36.5k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

84%

SpaceX

$14.0k Vol.

$1.7k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

84%

SpaceX

$66.7k Vol.

$66.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

33%

1.8T–2.0T

$108k Vol.

$41.0k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

Elon Musk Net Worth on February 28?

Elon Musk

Culture

Elon Musk Net Worth on February 28?

35%

700b+

$16.2k Vol.

$13.8k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

76%

$295k Vol.

$17.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Elon Musk

Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

34%

$30.9k Vol.

$2.7k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released by...?

97%

April 20

$577k Vol.

$10.8k Liq.

116

Grok 5 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 5 released by...?

70%

June 30, 2026

$195k Vol.

$5.3k Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

16%

$58.8k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Business

Richest person on March 31?

96%

Elon Musk

$111k Vol.

$73.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

2nd richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Business

2nd richest person on March 31?

73%

Larry Page

$18.3k Vol.

$15.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months