Who visited Epstein's Island?
Elon Musk·Politics

Who visited Epstein's Island?

29%

Steve Bannon

$402K Vol.

$139K Liq.

87

Ends in 4 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on February 28?
Elon Musk·Culture

Elon Musk Net Worth on February 28?

26%

670-680b

$90.7K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Elon Musk·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

14

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
Elon Musk·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

90%

1T+

$2M Vol.

$137K Liq.

39

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

88%

>$1T

$543K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$225K Vol.

$64.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

31%

5-6

$234K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Elon Musk·Business

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

3%

$2M Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

76

Ends in 4 months

3rd richest person on March 31?
Elon Musk·Business

3rd richest person on March 31?

65%

Sergey Brin

$77.8K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Elon Musk·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

32%

2.0T+

$207K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

68%

Morgan Stanley

$375K Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

56%

$X

$2M Vol.

$65.0K Liq.

127

Ends in almost 2 years

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

85%

SpaceX

$19.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

Grok 5 released by...?
Elon Musk·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

68%

June 30, 2026

$211K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

28

Ends in 4 months

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
Elon Musk·Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

75%

<350k

$470K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

43%

$61.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Elon Musk·Trump

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

88%

$61.9K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Elon Musk·Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

71%

$325K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Elon Musk·Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

56%

$68.1K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

In which month will SpaceX IPO?
Elon Musk·SpaceX

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

42%

June

$11.3K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elon Musk.

Polymarket currently hosts 44 active markets for Elon Musk that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Who visited Epstein's Island?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "What will SpaceX's public ticker be?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elon Musk predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.