Sam Altman predictions & odds

·
GPT ads by...?

Sam Altman

Technology

GPT ads by...?

88%

March 31

$1m Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

179

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Sam Altman

Business

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

28%

$221k Vol.

$9.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Sam Altman

AI

GPT-5.3 released by...?

73%

February 28

$54.8k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

4

Ends in 28 days

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Sam Altman

AI

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

56%

December 31, 2026

$102k Vol.

$8.2k Liq.

25

GPT-6 released by…?

Sam Altman

AI

GPT-6 released by…?

77%

December 31, 2026

$258k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

37

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Sam Altman

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

69%

SpaceX

$55 Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Sam Altman

Business

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

45%

Clip-on device for clothing

$4 Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Sam Altman

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

72%

SpaceX

$0 Vol.

$324 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Sam Altman

Business

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

52%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

$230 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Sam Altman

Crypto

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

22%

$13.6k Vol.

$2.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Sam Altman

Business

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

92%

$800B

$214 Vol.

$11.1k Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years