Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$70,458 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
March 31, 2026
$28,777 Vol.
3%
March 31, 2026
$28,777 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2026
$446 Vol.
46%
December 31, 2026
$446 Vol.
46%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.
Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.
Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Created At: May 22, 2025, 2:48 PM UTC
Volume
$70,458End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
May 22, 2025, 2:48 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...$70,458 Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
March 31, 2026
$28,777 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2026
$446 Vol.
46%
About
Volume
$70,458End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
May 22, 2025, 2:48 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.