OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating thousands of AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has accelerated trader focus on additional 2026 breakthroughs. This multi-agent approach, which consumed massive compute to tackle fluid-dynamics singularities, builds on earlier 2026 gains including OpenAI’s ten longstanding problem solutions in August and parallel work by Anthropic on Riemann-related bounds plus formalization of major theorems. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind’s IMO-level results and FrontierMath benchmarks, where current models solve only a small fraction of research-grade Erdős problems, underscores that while competition-level math is largely mastered, genuine open conjectures remain uncertain. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof and any follow-on announcements before year-end represent the key near-term catalysts likely to shift market-implied odds on specific problems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 31, 2026
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
61%
Hodge Conjecture
59%
Riemann Hypothesis
51%
Legendre's Conjecture
50%
Yang-Mills
50%
Collatz Conjecture
50%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
50%
Twin Prime Conjecture
50%
Odd Perfect Number
50%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
50%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
50%
Beal's Conjecture
50%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
50%
P versus NP
29%
$398 Vol.
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
$0 Vol.
61%
Hodge Conjecture
$320 Vol.
59%
Riemann Hypothesis
$0 Vol.
51%
Legendre's Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Yang-Mills
$0 Vol.
50%
Collatz Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Twin Prime Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Odd Perfect Number
$0 Vol.
50%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
$0 Vol.
50%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Beal's Conjecture
$0 Vol.
50%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
$0 Vol.
50%
P versus NP
$78 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating thousands of AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has accelerated trader focus on additional 2026 breakthroughs. This multi-agent approach, which consumed massive compute to tackle fluid-dynamics singularities, builds on earlier 2026 gains including OpenAI’s ten longstanding problem solutions in August and parallel work by Anthropic on Riemann-related bounds plus formalization of major theorems. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind’s IMO-level results and FrontierMath benchmarks, where current models solve only a small fraction of research-grade Erdős problems, underscores that while competition-level math is largely mastered, genuine open conjectures remain uncertain. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof and any follow-on announcements before year-end represent the key near-term catalysts likely to shift market-implied odds on specific problems.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$398End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating thousands of AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has accelerated trader focus on additional 2026 breakthroughs. This multi-agent approach, which consumed massive compute to tackle fluid-dynamics singularities, builds on earlier 2026 gains including OpenAI’s ten longstanding problem solutions in August and parallel work by Anthropic on Riemann-related bounds plus formalization of major theorems. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind’s IMO-level results and FrontierMath benchmarks, where current models solve only a small fraction of research-grade Erdős problems, underscores that while competition-level math is largely mastered, genuine open conjectures remain uncertain. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof and any follow-on announcements before year-end represent the key near-term catalysts likely to shift market-implied odds on specific problems.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating thousands of AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the Clay Millennium Prize Problems—has accelerated trader focus on additional 2026 breakthroughs. This multi-agent approach, which consumed massive compute to tackle fluid-dynamics singularities, builds on earlier 2026 gains including OpenAI’s ten longstanding problem solutions in August and parallel work by Anthropic on Riemann-related bounds plus formalization of major theorems. Competitive pressure from Google DeepMind’s IMO-level results and FrontierMath benchmarks, where current models solve only a small fraction of research-grade Erdős problems, underscores that while competition-level math is largely mastered, genuine open conjectures remain uncertain. Verification of the Navier-Stokes proof and any follow-on announcements before year-end represent the key near-term catalysts likely to shift market-implied odds on specific problems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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