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OpenAI previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

47%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$118K Liq.

13

Ends em 7 meses

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

73%

Anthropic

$170K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

3

Ends em mais de 1 ano

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

55%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

34%

1.5T+

$31.7K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

71%

Anthropic

$30.6K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

34%

Earbuds/Headphones

$309K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

13

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

$80.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

40%

$281K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

8

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

84%

$800B

$2M Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$10.2K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

89%

SpaceX

$9.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

5

Ends em mais de 1 ano

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

20%

50%+

$25.9K Vol.

$593 Liq.

1

Ends em 13 dias

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

19%

$5.1K Vol.

$27 Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

62%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$584 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

83%

1450+

$111K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

22%

$3.6K Vol.

$545 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

39%

December 31, 2026

$256K Vol.

$512 Liq.

32

Ends há 6 meses

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

50%

$50B–$60B

$1.7K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

23%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$467 Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic

$30.0K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OpenAI.

Polymarket currently hosts 174 active markets for OpenAI that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI IPO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI IPO by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI IPO by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OpenAI predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.