OpenAI predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of February?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

68%

Anthropic

$3m Vol.

$903k today

$674k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

51%

Google

$2m Vol.

$133k today

$317k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

64%

Anthropic

$271k Vol.

$100k today

$92.0k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

61%

Google

$103k Vol.

$58.7k today

$53.7k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

62%

OpenAI

$193k Vol.

$53.7k today

$64.2k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

48%

xAI

$62.1k Vol.

$33.2k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

54%

Google

$59.8k Vol.

$35.5k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

OpenAI

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

85%

SpaceX

$124k Vol.

$65.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

71%

Google

$38.5k Vol.

$37.8k Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

55%

Google

$777k Vol.

$186k Liq.

61

Ends in 5 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

OpenAI

AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

45%

Google

$331k Vol.

$31.5k Liq.

17

Ends in 5 months

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

49%

Google

$48.7k Vol.

$32.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

41%

Google

$12.0k Vol.

$143k Liq.

19

Ends in 5 months

GPT-6 released by…?

OpenAI

Sam Altman

GPT-6 released by…?

80%

December 31, 2026

$269k Vol.

$18.1k Liq.

37

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

61%

OpenAI

$39.9k Vol.

$22.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

GPT ads by...?

OpenAI

Technology

GPT ads by...?

94%

March 31

$1m Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

190

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI

Business

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

79%

35%+

$46.2k Vol.

$2.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

OpenAI

Sam Altman

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

59%

December 31, 2026

$108k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

25

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI

Finance

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

47%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$1m Vol.

$126k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

OpenAI

Politics

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

35%

$14.7k Vol.

$1.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months