OpenAI’s preparations for a potential 2026 IPO, including confidential S-1 filing discussions with bankers and a recent $852 billion private valuation from its March funding round, anchor trader sentiment amid heavy artificial intelligence investment. Reports indicate a possible September or fourth-quarter listing targeting over $1 trillion, supported by ChatGPT’s scale and large language model momentum, yet the 27.5% implied probability of no IPO by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty from projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, CFO guidance leaning toward 2027, and typical slippage in regulatory and market conditions. Competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, plus the need for sustained revenue growth and developer ecosystem strength, keeps the market closely divided between delayed timing and premium closing market caps above $1 trillion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO） 28%
1.5万亿美元+ 23.3%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元 14.8%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元 12.2%
$1,689,321 交易量
$1,689,321 交易量
2026-06-30
<500B
2%
5000亿美元–7500亿美元
8%
7500亿美元–1万亿美元
11%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元
15%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元
12%
1.5万亿美元+
23%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO）
28%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO） 28%
1.5万亿美元+ 23.3%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元 14.8%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元 12.2%
$1,689,321 交易量
$1,689,321 交易量
2026-06-30
<500B
$272,238 交易量
2%
5000亿美元–7500亿美元
$151,483 交易量
8%
7500亿美元–1万亿美元
$147,746 交易量
11%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元
$189,187 交易量
15%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元
$502,507 交易量
12%
1.5万亿美元+
$105,381 交易量
23%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO）
$320,777 交易量
28%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential 2026 IPO, including confidential S-1 filing discussions with bankers and a recent $852 billion private valuation from its March funding round, anchor trader sentiment amid heavy artificial intelligence investment. Reports indicate a possible September or fourth-quarter listing targeting over $1 trillion, supported by ChatGPT’s scale and large language model momentum, yet the 27.5% implied probability of no IPO by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty from projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, CFO guidance leaning toward 2027, and typical slippage in regulatory and market conditions. Competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, plus the need for sustained revenue growth and developer ecosystem strength, keeps the market closely divided between delayed timing and premium closing market caps above $1 trillion.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,689,321结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s preparations for a potential 2026 IPO, including confidential S-1 filing discussions with bankers and a recent $852 billion private valuation from its March funding round, anchor trader sentiment amid heavy artificial intelligence investment. Reports indicate a possible September or fourth-quarter listing targeting over $1 trillion, supported by ChatGPT’s scale and large language model momentum, yet the 27.5% implied probability of no IPO by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty from projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, CFO guidance leaning toward 2027, and typical slippage in regulatory and market conditions. Competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, plus the need for sustained revenue growth and developer ecosystem strength, keeps the market closely divided between delayed timing and premium closing market caps above $1 trillion.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,689,321结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s preparations for a potential 2026 IPO, including confidential S-1 filing discussions with bankers and a recent $852 billion private valuation from its March funding round, anchor trader sentiment amid heavy artificial intelligence investment. Reports indicate a possible September or fourth-quarter listing targeting over $1 trillion, supported by ChatGPT’s scale and large language model momentum, yet the 27.5% implied probability of no IPO by year-end reflects ongoing uncertainty from projected multibillion-dollar losses through 2026, CFO guidance leaning toward 2027, and typical slippage in regulatory and market conditions. Competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, plus the need for sustained revenue growth and developer ecosystem strength, keeps the market closely divided between delayed timing and premium closing market caps above $1 trillion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题