OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential S-1 filing plans as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a targeted September or Q4 debut, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds between no IPO by end-2026 and a 1.5T+ closing market cap. The March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation provides the latest benchmark, while ongoing capital needs for compute infrastructure, data centers, and talent amid competition from Anthropic, Google, and xAI create uncertainty around exact timing and pricing. High cash burn and fluid regulatory or market conditions could still shift outcomes, with traders weighing the company's rapid revenue growth against execution risks in a high-valuation AI environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNo habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 27%
1,5 billones+ 23.5%
1 billón–1,25 billones 13.9%
1.25T–1.5T 12.2%
$1,693,204 Vol.
$1,693,204 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<500 mil millones
2%
500–750B
8%
750B–1T
11%
1 billón–1,25 billones
14%
1.25T–1.5T
12%
1,5 billones+
24%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026
27%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026 27%
1,5 billones+ 23.5%
1 billón–1,25 billones 13.9%
1.25T–1.5T 12.2%
$1,693,204 Vol.
$1,693,204 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<500 mil millones
$272,268 Vol.
2%
500–750B
$151,523 Vol.
8%
750B–1T
$148,205 Vol.
11%
1 billón–1,25 billones
$192,303 Vol.
14%
1.25T–1.5T
$502,538 Vol.
12%
1,5 billones+
$105,387 Vol.
24%
No habrá OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026
$320,980 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential S-1 filing plans as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a targeted September or Q4 debut, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds between no IPO by end-2026 and a 1.5T+ closing market cap. The March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation provides the latest benchmark, while ongoing capital needs for compute infrastructure, data centers, and talent amid competition from Anthropic, Google, and xAI create uncertainty around exact timing and pricing. High cash burn and fluid regulatory or market conditions could still shift outcomes, with traders weighing the company's rapid revenue growth against execution risks in a high-valuation AI environment.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,693,204Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential S-1 filing plans as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a targeted September or Q4 debut, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds between no IPO by end-2026 and a 1.5T+ closing market cap. The March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation provides the latest benchmark, while ongoing capital needs for compute infrastructure, data centers, and talent amid competition from Anthropic, Google, and xAI create uncertainty around exact timing and pricing. High cash burn and fluid regulatory or market conditions could still shift outcomes, with traders weighing the company's rapid revenue growth against execution risks in a high-valuation AI environment.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,693,204Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential S-1 filing plans as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a targeted September or Q4 debut, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds between no IPO by end-2026 and a 1.5T+ closing market cap. The March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation provides the latest benchmark, while ongoing capital needs for compute infrastructure, data centers, and talent amid competition from Anthropic, Google, and xAI create uncertainty around exact timing and pricing. High cash burn and fluid regulatory or market conditions could still shift outcomes, with traders weighing the company's rapid revenue growth against execution risks in a high-valuation AI environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes