Recent confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a September 2026 debut after the March 2026 round at an $852 billion valuation, underpin the near-even split between a 1.5T+ close and no IPO by year-end 2026. Traders weigh OpenAI’s $20 billion annualized revenue run rate and ChatGPT dominance against persistent losses projected near $14 billion this year, alongside regulatory scrutiny and competition from Anthropic and other large language model developers. Key swing factors include final prospectus details, market reception for pure-play AI exposure, and any last-minute shifts in corporate structure or executive priorities before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5万亿美元+ 29.8%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO） 28%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元 13.8%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元 12.7%
$1,717,496 交易量
$1,717,496 交易量
2026-06-30
<500B
3%
5000亿美元–7500亿美元
5%
7500亿美元–1万亿美元
6%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元
13%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元
14%
1.5万亿美元+
30%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO）
28%
1.5万亿美元+ 29.8%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO） 28%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元 13.8%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元 12.7%
$1,717,496 交易量
$1,717,496 交易量
2026-06-30
<500B
$275,622 交易量
3%
5000亿美元–7500亿美元
$153,245 交易量
5%
7500亿美元–1万亿美元
$151,308 交易量
6%
1万亿美元–1.25万亿美元
$193,390 交易量
13%
1.25万亿美元–1.5万亿美元
$504,486 交易量
14%
1.5万亿美元+
$111,615 交易量
30%
截至 2026 年 12 月 31 日尚未进行首次公开发行（IPO）
$327,830 交易量
28%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a September 2026 debut after the March 2026 round at an $852 billion valuation, underpin the near-even split between a 1.5T+ close and no IPO by year-end 2026. Traders weigh OpenAI’s $20 billion annualized revenue run rate and ChatGPT dominance against persistent losses projected near $14 billion this year, alongside regulatory scrutiny and competition from Anthropic and other large language model developers. Key swing factors include final prospectus details, market reception for pure-play AI exposure, and any last-minute shifts in corporate structure or executive priorities before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,717,496结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a September 2026 debut after the March 2026 round at an $852 billion valuation, underpin the near-even split between a 1.5T+ close and no IPO by year-end 2026. Traders weigh OpenAI’s $20 billion annualized revenue run rate and ChatGPT dominance against persistent losses projected near $14 billion this year, alongside regulatory scrutiny and competition from Anthropic and other large language model developers. Key swing factors include final prospectus details, market reception for pure-play AI exposure, and any last-minute shifts in corporate structure or executive priorities before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,717,496结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a September 2026 debut after the March 2026 round at an $852 billion valuation, underpin the near-even split between a 1.5T+ close and no IPO by year-end 2026. Traders weigh OpenAI’s $20 billion annualized revenue run rate and ChatGPT dominance against persistent losses projected near $14 billion this year, alongside regulatory scrutiny and competition from Anthropic and other large language model developers. Key swing factors include final prospectus details, market reception for pure-play AI exposure, and any last-minute shifts in corporate structure or executive priorities before the December 31, 2026 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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