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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

9% chance

$17,645 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,645
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

9% chance

$17,645 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,645
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET

Beware of external links.