NVIDIA's H100 GPUs, the gold standard for AI training workloads, have seen rental prices plummet in recent weeks due to surging supply from ramped-up production at TSMC fabs and new cloud capacity from providers like CoreWeave and Lambda Labs. Spot market rates on platforms such as Vast.ai dipped below $2 per hour by mid-April 2024, down over 70% from late-2023 peaks, as Blackwell B200 announcements at GTC shifted trader focus to next-gen alternatives. Steady AI demand persists from labs like OpenAI and xAI, but oversupply fears dominate sentiment. Traders eye NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 22 and H200 rollout for potential price floors, with resolution hinging on verified spot pricing metrics by April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
$227,518 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
↑ $4.00
6%
↑ $3.50
6%
↑ $3.00
7%
↑ $2.75
60%
↓ $2.20
11%
↓ $2.10
11%
↓ $2.00
10%
↓ $1.75
8%
↓ $1.50
3%
$227,518 Vol.
↑ $4.00
$4,666 Vol.
6%
↑ $3.50
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ $3.00
$25,780 Vol.
7%
↑ $2.75
$62,730 Vol.
60%
↓ $2.20
$0 Vol.
11%
↓ $2.10
$33,434 Vol.
11%
↓ $2.00
$22,654 Vol.
10%
↓ $1.75
$0 Vol.
8%
↓ $1.50
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.NVIDIA's H100 GPUs, the gold standard for AI training workloads, have seen rental prices plummet in recent weeks due to surging supply from ramped-up production at TSMC fabs and new cloud capacity from providers like CoreWeave and Lambda Labs. Spot market rates on platforms such as Vast.ai dipped below $2 per hour by mid-April 2024, down over 70% from late-2023 peaks, as Blackwell B200 announcements at GTC shifted trader focus to next-gen alternatives. Steady AI demand persists from labs like OpenAI and xAI, but oversupply fears dominate sentiment. Traders eye NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 22 and H200 rollout for potential price floors, with resolution hinging on verified spot pricing metrics by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Volume
$227,518End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.NVIDIA's H100 GPUs, the gold standard for AI training workloads, have seen rental prices plummet in recent weeks due to surging supply from ramped-up production at TSMC fabs and new cloud capacity from providers like CoreWeave and Lambda Labs. Spot market rates on platforms such as Vast.ai dipped below $2 per hour by mid-April 2024, down over 70% from late-2023 peaks, as Blackwell B200 announcements at GTC shifted trader focus to next-gen alternatives. Steady AI demand persists from labs like OpenAI and xAI, but oversupply fears dominate sentiment. Traders eye NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 22 and H200 rollout for potential price floors, with resolution hinging on verified spot pricing metrics by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$227,518End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA's H100 GPUs, the gold standard for AI training workloads, have seen rental prices plummet in recent weeks due to surging supply from ramped-up production at TSMC fabs and new cloud capacity from providers like CoreWeave and Lambda Labs. Spot market rates on platforms such as Vast.ai dipped below $2 per hour by mid-April 2024, down over 70% from late-2023 peaks, as Blackwell B200 announcements at GTC shifted trader focus to next-gen alternatives. Steady AI demand persists from labs like OpenAI and xAI, but oversupply fears dominate sentiment. Traders eye NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 22 and H200 rollout for potential price floors, with resolution hinging on verified spot pricing metrics by April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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